Skip to main content
Market icon
Géopolitique·Pakistan

Trump se rendra-t-il au Pakistan d'ici le 31 mai ?

Market icon
Géopolitique·Pakistan

Trump se rendra-t-il au Pakistan d'ici le 31 mai ?

Oui

35% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

35% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's recent hints at a potential visit to Pakistan—conditioned on finalizing a US-Iran peace deal in Islamabad—have driven trader interest, but ongoing diplomatic hurdles keep "No" favored at 72%. Vice President JD Vance's April 11 talks with Iranian officials in Pakistan ended without agreement after 20 hours, amid a fragile ceasefire and Trump's threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. While Trump praised Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Army Chief Asim Munir for mediation, no firm schedule exists, and renewed negotiations face barriers over Iran's nuclear program. With six weeks until May 31, traders reflect skepticism on rapid de-escalation and resolution in this multilateral diplomacy.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$9,964
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's recent hints at a potential visit to Pakistan—conditioned on finalizing a US-Iran peace deal in Islamabad—have driven trader interest, but ongoing diplomatic hurdles keep "No" favored at 72%. Vice President JD Vance's April 11 talks with Iranian officials in Pakistan ended without agreement after 20 hours, amid a fragile ceasefire and Trump's threats of a Strait of Hormuz blockade. While Trump praised Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Army Chief Asim Munir for mediation, no firm schedule exists, and renewed negotiations face barriers over Iran's nuclear program. With six weeks until May 31, traders reflect skepticism on rapid de-escalation and resolution in this multilateral diplomacy.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,388
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 8:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits Pakistan by May 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Trump se rendra-t-il au Pakistan d'ici le 31 mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Trump visitera-t-il le Pakistan avant le 31 mai ? » à 35%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Trump se rendra-t-il au Pakistan d'ici le 31 mai ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Trump se rendra-t-il au Pakistan d'ici le 31 mai ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Trump se rendra-t-il au Pakistan d'ici le 31 mai ? » est « Trump visitera-t-il le Pakistan avant le 31 mai ? » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump se rendra-t-il au Pakistan d'ici le 31 mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.