Recent USD/CAD trading near 1.378 reflects a wide policy rate gap, with the Federal Reserve holding the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% against the Bank of Canada’s 2.25% target, sustaining carry in favor of the dollar even as markets price limited further divergence. Elevated crude prices above $92 per barrel, driven by Middle East supply risks, have provided counter-support to the commodity-linked loonie, offsetting softer Canadian jobs data and U.S. payroll misses that trimmed near-term hike odds. Ongoing U.S.-Canada tariff escalations introduce downside risk to CAD via trade exposure, while Friday’s U.S. CPI release and any FOMC signals on the rate path remain key near-term catalysts. Traders view the pair’s direction as tied to whether the rate differential narrows faster than oil or growth differentials shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$14,495 Vol.
↑1,70
4%
↑1,60
8%
↑1,55
24%
↑1,50
28%
↑1,45
32%
↓1,33
48%
↓1,30
48%
↓1,25
46%
↓1,20
33%
↓1,10
42%
$14,495 Vol.
↑1,70
4%
↑1,60
8%
↑1,55
24%
↑1,50
28%
↑1,45
32%
↓1,33
48%
↓1,30
48%
↓1,25
46%
↓1,20
33%
↓1,10
42%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent USD/CAD trading near 1.378 reflects a wide policy rate gap, with the Federal Reserve holding the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% against the Bank of Canada’s 2.25% target, sustaining carry in favor of the dollar even as markets price limited further divergence. Elevated crude prices above $92 per barrel, driven by Middle East supply risks, have provided counter-support to the commodity-linked loonie, offsetting softer Canadian jobs data and U.S. payroll misses that trimmed near-term hike odds. Ongoing U.S.-Canada tariff escalations introduce downside risk to CAD via trade exposure, while Friday’s U.S. CPI release and any FOMC signals on the rate path remain key near-term catalysts. Traders view the pair’s direction as tied to whether the rate differential narrows faster than oil or growth differentials shift.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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