Bayern München holds a 2-1 aggregate lead after Luis Díaz and Harry Kane's goals secured a historic first-leg victory at Real Madrid's Santiago Bernabéu—their first win there in a quarter-century—positioning trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for a Bayern home win in the Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Manuel Neuer's match-winning saves earned MVP honors, underscoring Bayern's defensive resilience despite Kylian Mbappé's reply for Los Blancos. Michael Olise's masterclass added attacking flair, while Real Madrid faces pressure to overturn the deficit away, reflected in their 22% win odds amid home/away form disparities and Bayern's momentum from recent Bundesliga results. Draw pricing at 19.5% highlights the tie's competitiveness.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern München holds a 2-1 aggregate lead after Luis Díaz and Harry Kane's goals secured a historic first-leg victory at Real Madrid's Santiago Bernabéu—their first win there in a quarter-century—positioning trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for a Bayern home win in the Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Manuel Neuer's match-winning saves earned MVP honors, underscoring Bayern's defensive resilience despite Kylian Mbappé's reply for Los Blancos. Michael Olise's masterclass added attacking flair, while Real Madrid faces pressure to overturn the deficit away, reflected in their 22% win odds amid home/away form disparities and Bayern's momentum from recent Bundesliga results. Draw pricing at 19.5% highlights the tie's competitiveness.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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