Trader consensus favors "Other" outcomes at 45.5% alongside narrow Republican leads of 0-2% at 22.6%, reflecting uncertainty in early generic ballot polling that shows Democrats ahead by 3-6 points in April surveys from YouGov/Economist, RMG Research, and Cygnal. Recent aggregates like Decision Desk HQ (+3.4%) and RCP (+5.6%) indicate a Democratic edge driven by President Trump's approval ratings dipping to the high 30s-low 40s amid inflation pressures and escalating Iran tensions, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the president's party. However, traders discount larger Democrat margins (e.g., 6-8% at 18.5%) due to polling volatility this far from November 3, potential narrowing as seen in Rasmussen's March update, and the GOP's defensive map in battleground districts, with primaries underway in key states.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 मिडटर्म: हाउस पॉपुलर वोट मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री
2026 मिडटर्म: हाउस पॉपुलर वोट मार्जिन ऑफ़ विक्ट्री
Republicans 0-2% 21.9%
Democrats 8-10% 18%
Democrats 6-8% 18%
Democrats 10-12% 15%
$30,687 वॉल्यूम
$30,687 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democrats 16%+
6%
Democrats 14-16%
7%
Democrats 12-14%
2%
Democrats 10-12%
15%
Democrats 8-10%
18%
Democrats 6-8%
18%
Democrats 4-6%
15%
Democrats 2-4%
10%
Democrats 0-2%
5%
Republicans 0-2%
22%
Republicans 2-4%
11%
Republicans 4-6%
2%
Republicans 6%+
1%
Republicans 0-2% 21.9%
Democrats 8-10% 18%
Democrats 6-8% 18%
Democrats 10-12% 15%
$30,687 वॉल्यूम
$30,687 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democrats 16%+
$181 वॉल्यूम
6%
Democrats 14-16%
$302 वॉल्यूम
7%
Democrats 12-14%
$187 वॉल्यूम
2%
Democrats 10-12%
$766 वॉल्यूम
15%
Democrats 8-10%
$361 वॉल्यूम
18%
Democrats 6-8%
$225 वॉल्यूम
18%
Democrats 4-6%
$181 वॉल्यूम
15%
Democrats 2-4%
$812 वॉल्यूम
10%
Democrats 0-2%
$834 वॉल्यूम
5%
Republicans 0-2%
$195 वॉल्यूम
22%
Republicans 2-4%
$25,796 वॉल्यूम
11%
Republicans 4-6%
$188 वॉल्यूम
2%
Republicans 6%+
$659 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors "Other" outcomes at 45.5% alongside narrow Republican leads of 0-2% at 22.6%, reflecting uncertainty in early generic ballot polling that shows Democrats ahead by 3-6 points in April surveys from YouGov/Economist, RMG Research, and Cygnal. Recent aggregates like Decision Desk HQ (+3.4%) and RCP (+5.6%) indicate a Democratic edge driven by President Trump's approval ratings dipping to the high 30s-low 40s amid inflation pressures and escalating Iran tensions, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the president's party. However, traders discount larger Democrat margins (e.g., 6-8% at 18.5%) due to polling volatility this far from November 3, potential narrowing as seen in Rasmussen's March update, and the GOP's defensive map in battleground districts, with primaries underway in key states.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,687समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors "Other" outcomes at 45.5% alongside narrow Republican leads of 0-2% at 22.6%, reflecting uncertainty in early generic ballot polling that shows Democrats ahead by 3-6 points in April surveys from YouGov/Economist, RMG Research, and Cygnal. Recent aggregates like Decision Desk HQ (+3.4%) and RCP (+5.6%) indicate a Democratic edge driven by President Trump's approval ratings dipping to the high 30s-low 40s amid inflation pressures and escalating Iran tensions, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the president's party. However, traders discount larger Democrat margins (e.g., 6-8% at 18.5%) due to polling volatility this far from November 3, potential narrowing as seen in Rasmussen's March update, and the GOP's defensive map in battleground districts, with primaries underway in key states.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$30,687समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors "Other" outcomes at 45.5% alongside narrow Republican leads of 0-2% at 22.6%, reflecting uncertainty in early generic ballot polling that shows Democrats ahead by 3-6 points in April surveys from YouGov/Economist, RMG Research, and Cygnal. Recent aggregates like Decision Desk HQ (+3.4%) and RCP (+5.6%) indicate a Democratic edge driven by President Trump's approval ratings dipping to the high 30s-low 40s amid inflation pressures and escalating Iran tensions, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the president's party. However, traders discount larger Democrat margins (e.g., 6-8% at 18.5%) due to polling volatility this far from November 3, potential narrowing as seen in Rasmussen's March update, and the GOP's defensive map in battleground districts, with primaries underway in key states.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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