Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability as defending champions and Western Conference No. 1 seed with a league-best 64-18 record, capped by a strong late-season push including wins over top contenders that secured home-court advantage throughout the playoffs starting April 18. San Antonio Spurs' 15.2% share reflects their No. 2 West seed at 62-20—the NBA's second 60-win team—fueled by Victor Wembanyama's breakout and defensive prowess, though a recent upset loss to Denver Nuggets as heavy favorites slightly tempers momentum. Boston Celtics (11.5%) hold steady as East No. 2 (56-26) with playoff experience, while Nuggets (10.5%) lean on Nikola Jokić's RPG/APG leads despite a tougher path; Detroit Pistons' East-topping 60-22 mark lands lower at 5.8% amid perceived Western superiority and youth untested in deep runs. Play-in outcomes pending could shift early matchups.