Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, reflecting a razor-thin balance driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by Claude's enterprise coding agent adoption, while spending 4x less on model training. OpenAI holds a commanding $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round, dwarfing Anthropic's February $380 billion mark, yet fresh venture capital offers valuing Anthropic at up to $800 billion signal closing multiples. Key swing factors include Anthropic's potential next funding or IPO amid efficiency edges, OpenAI's year-end public listing, and Q2 revenue prints or frontier model launches that could recalibrate growth trajectories.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, reflecting a razor-thin balance driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by Claude's enterprise coding agent adoption, while spending 4x less on model training. OpenAI holds a commanding $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round, dwarfing Anthropic's February $380 billion mark, yet fresh venture capital offers valuing Anthropic at up to $800 billion signal closing multiples. Key swing factors include Anthropic's potential next funding or IPO amid efficiency edges, OpenAI's year-end public listing, and Q2 revenue prints or frontier model launches that could recalibrate growth trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$73समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, reflecting a razor-thin balance driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by Claude's enterprise coding agent adoption, while spending 4x less on model training. OpenAI holds a commanding $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round, dwarfing Anthropic's February $380 billion mark, yet fresh venture capital offers valuing Anthropic at up to $800 billion signal closing multiples. Key swing factors include Anthropic's potential next funding or IPO amid efficiency edges, OpenAI's year-end public listing, and Q2 revenue prints or frontier model launches that could recalibrate growth trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$73समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Anthropic surpassing OpenAI's valuation in 2026, reflecting a razor-thin balance driven by Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate by late March—eclipsing OpenAI's $24 billion—fueled by Claude's enterprise coding agent adoption, while spending 4x less on model training. OpenAI holds a commanding $852 billion post-money valuation from its March $122 billion funding round, dwarfing Anthropic's February $380 billion mark, yet fresh venture capital offers valuing Anthropic at up to $800 billion signal closing multiples. Key swing factors include Anthropic's potential next funding or IPO amid efficiency edges, OpenAI's year-end public listing, and Q2 revenue prints or frontier model launches that could recalibrate growth trajectories.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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