Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 28, 2026 meeting, up from prior levels amid Governor Kazuo Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. Ueda's April 13 speech emphasized vigilance over Middle East tensions—particularly the protracted Iran conflict—driving oil price surges and global market volatility, while noting persistently accommodative financial conditions with negative real rates. Cooling Tokyo core CPI to 1.7% in March, the lowest since April 2024, has tempered hike expectations despite underlying inflation near 2%. A modest 10.5% odds for a 25 basis point increase to 1.0% reflect residual wage momentum, but uncertainty favors the BoJ's typical hold strategy ahead of key data releases. USD/JPY lingers near 159, with verbal intervention signals adding caution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 89%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि 11%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि <1%
दरें घटाएँ <1%
$697,374 वॉल्यूम
$697,374 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
दरें घटाएँ
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
89%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि
11%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 89%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि 11%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि <1%
दरें घटाएँ <1%
$697,374 वॉल्यूम
$697,374 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
दरें घटाएँ
$160,418 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$140,145 वॉल्यूम
89%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि
$144,221 वॉल्यूम
11%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$252,591 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 28, 2026 meeting, up from prior levels amid Governor Kazuo Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. Ueda's April 13 speech emphasized vigilance over Middle East tensions—particularly the protracted Iran conflict—driving oil price surges and global market volatility, while noting persistently accommodative financial conditions with negative real rates. Cooling Tokyo core CPI to 1.7% in March, the lowest since April 2024, has tempered hike expectations despite underlying inflation near 2%. A modest 10.5% odds for a 25 basis point increase to 1.0% reflect residual wage momentum, but uncertainty favors the BoJ's typical hold strategy ahead of key data releases. USD/JPY lingers near 159, with verbal intervention signals adding caution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$697,374समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 28, 2026 meeting, up from prior levels amid Governor Kazuo Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. Ueda's April 13 speech emphasized vigilance over Middle East tensions—particularly the protracted Iran conflict—driving oil price surges and global market volatility, while noting persistently accommodative financial conditions with negative real rates. Cooling Tokyo core CPI to 1.7% in March, the lowest since April 2024, has tempered hike expectations despite underlying inflation near 2%. A modest 10.5% odds for a 25 basis point increase to 1.0% reflect residual wage momentum, but uncertainty favors the BoJ's typical hold strategy ahead of key data releases. USD/JPY lingers near 159, with verbal intervention signals adding caution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$697,374समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 88.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 28, 2026 meeting, up from prior levels amid Governor Kazuo Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. Ueda's April 13 speech emphasized vigilance over Middle East tensions—particularly the protracted Iran conflict—driving oil price surges and global market volatility, while noting persistently accommodative financial conditions with negative real rates. Cooling Tokyo core CPI to 1.7% in March, the lowest since April 2024, has tempered hike expectations despite underlying inflation near 2%. A modest 10.5% odds for a 25 basis point increase to 1.0% reflect residual wage momentum, but uncertainty favors the BoJ's typical hold strategy ahead of key data releases. USD/JPY lingers near 159, with verbal intervention signals adding caution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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