Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामई में बैंक ऑफ़ मैक्सिको का फ़ैसला
मई में बैंक ऑफ़ मैक्सिको का फ़ैसला
No change 82%
Decrease 16%
Increase <1%
$50,783 वॉल्यूम
$50,783 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
Decrease
16%
No change
82%
Increase
1%
No change 82%
Decrease 16%
Increase <1%
$50,783 वॉल्यूम
$50,783 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
Decrease
$16,460 वॉल्यूम
16%
No change
$14,886 वॉल्यूम
82%
Increase
$19,437 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$50,783समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$50,783समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at 6.75% for its May 7 decision, reflecting caution after March 2026 headline CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year—up from 4.02% in February and above the 3% midpoint target—despite the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut on March 26 in a split 3-2 vote. Core inflation rose to 4.45% y/y, prompting Banxico to revise forecasts higher for early 2026 quarters while signaling the easing cycle nears completion, as noted by the governor. A 16% chance of decrease persists amid analyst calls like Rabobank's for a final 25 basis point trim, with hikes at 0.6% odds barring further price surges; watch April CPI and May meeting minutes for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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