Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target overnight interbank rate at the May 7 meeting, following the central bank's unexpected 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided Governing Board vote and headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Persistent price pressures from excise taxes and tariffs have tempered easing expectations, reinforced by Governor Rodríguez's March 30 comments signaling the rate-cut cycle is nearing completion, while subdued 2025 GDP growth of 0.56% and 2026 forecasts around 1.5% support a pause over further decreases (25.5%). A rate hike (0.6%) remains negligible absent sharper inflationary shocks; watch April CPI data for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामई में बैंक ऑफ़ मैक्सिको का फ़ैसला
मई में बैंक ऑफ़ मैक्सिको का फ़ैसला
कोई बदलाव नहीं 74%
कटौती 25%
वृद्धि <1%
$53,935 वॉल्यूम
$53,935 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
कटौती
25%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
74%
वृद्धि
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 74%
कटौती 25%
वृद्धि <1%
$53,935 वॉल्यूम
$53,935 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
कटौती
$18,087 वॉल्यूम
25%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$15,723 वॉल्यूम
74%
वृद्धि
$20,124 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target overnight interbank rate at the May 7 meeting, following the central bank's unexpected 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided Governing Board vote and headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Persistent price pressures from excise taxes and tariffs have tempered easing expectations, reinforced by Governor Rodríguez's March 30 comments signaling the rate-cut cycle is nearing completion, while subdued 2025 GDP growth of 0.56% and 2026 forecasts around 1.5% support a pause over further decreases (25.5%). A rate hike (0.6%) remains negligible absent sharper inflationary shocks; watch April CPI data for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$53,935समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target overnight interbank rate at the May 7 meeting, following the central bank's unexpected 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided Governing Board vote and headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Persistent price pressures from excise taxes and tariffs have tempered easing expectations, reinforced by Governor Rodríguez's March 30 comments signaling the rate-cut cycle is nearing completion, while subdued 2025 GDP growth of 0.56% and 2026 forecasts around 1.5% support a pause over further decreases (25.5%). A rate hike (0.6%) remains negligible absent sharper inflationary shocks; watch April CPI data for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$53,935समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73.5% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target overnight interbank rate at the May 7 meeting, following the central bank's unexpected 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid a divided Governing Board vote and headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year in March—the highest since August 2024. Persistent price pressures from excise taxes and tariffs have tempered easing expectations, reinforced by Governor Rodríguez's March 30 comments signaling the rate-cut cycle is nearing completion, while subdued 2025 GDP growth of 0.56% and 2026 forecasts around 1.5% support a pause over further decreases (25.5%). A rate hike (0.6%) remains negligible absent sharper inflationary shocks; watch April CPI data for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न