Recent polling averages place Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne within a narrow 15–22% band, creating high uncertainty over final rankings just ten days before the 20 September vote. Linke has gained ground in several surveys to challenge for first, while CDU support has softened from its 2023 result and AfD holds steady near 18%. Grüne trails slightly but remains competitive, and SPD sits lower at around 13%. These tight margins among the four leading parties directly sustain elevated implied probabilities for any one securing third place, with traders assigning AfD the highest share among them. Further shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could still reorder the middle positions before election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAfD 28%
ग्रिने 24%
CDU 22%
लिंक 21%
$33,879 वॉल्यूम
$33,879 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
AfD
28%
ग्रिने
24%
CDU
22%
लिंक
21%
एसपीडी
1%
एफडीपी
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 28%
ग्रिने 24%
CDU 22%
लिंक 21%
$33,879 वॉल्यूम
$33,879 वॉल्यूम
20 सित, 2026
AfD
$7,015 वॉल्यूम
28%
ग्रिने
$4,675 वॉल्यूम
24%
CDU
$10,807 वॉल्यूम
22%
लिंक
$6,367 वॉल्यूम
21%
एसपीडी
$2,445 वॉल्यूम
1%
एफडीपी
$1,069 वॉल्यूम
<1%
FW
$713 वॉल्यूम
<1%
BSW
$789 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling averages place Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne within a narrow 15–22% band, creating high uncertainty over final rankings just ten days before the 20 September vote. Linke has gained ground in several surveys to challenge for first, while CDU support has softened from its 2023 result and AfD holds steady near 18%. Grüne trails slightly but remains competitive, and SPD sits lower at around 13%. These tight margins among the four leading parties directly sustain elevated implied probabilities for any one securing third place, with traders assigning AfD the highest share among them. Further shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could still reorder the middle positions before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,879समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling averages place Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne within a narrow 15–22% band, creating high uncertainty over final rankings just ten days before the 20 September vote. Linke has gained ground in several surveys to challenge for first, while CDU support has softened from its 2023 result and AfD holds steady near 18%. Grüne trails slightly but remains competitive, and SPD sits lower at around 13%. These tight margins among the four leading parties directly sustain elevated implied probabilities for any one securing third place, with traders assigning AfD the highest share among them. Further shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could still reorder the middle positions before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
वॉल्यूम
$33,879समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne within a narrow 15–22% band, creating high uncertainty over final rankings just ten days before the 20 September vote. Linke has gained ground in several surveys to challenge for first, while CDU support has softened from its 2023 result and AfD holds steady near 18%. Grüne trails slightly but remains competitive, and SPD sits lower at around 13%. These tight margins among the four leading parties directly sustain elevated implied probabilities for any one securing third place, with traders assigning AfD the highest share among them. Further shifts in turnout or late undecided voters could still reorder the middle positions before election night.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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