Recent polls, including Market Links' April 7-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 37% versus GERB-SDS at 21% and a Center for Analysis and Marketing poll placing PB at 32% with 90 seats projected, underpin trader consensus on a PB victory margin of 10-15% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This positioning stems from PB's momentum under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that prompted the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation and Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 under proportional representation. Consistent polling gaps of 11-16% over GERB-SDS explain lower probabilities for narrower margins or a GERB-SDS win, though final turnout and late shifts could influence the outcome ahead of inevitable coalition negotiations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाबुल्गारिया संसदीय चुनाव: जीत का अंतर
बुल्गारिया संसदीय चुनाव: जीत का अंतर
PB 10-15% 58%
PB 15-20% 27%
PB 5-10% 24%
PB 20%+ 8.3%
$46,839 वॉल्यूम
$46,839 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
PB 20%+
22%
PB 15-20%
24%
PB 10-15%
46%
PB 5-10%
24%
PB <5%
3%
GERB-SDS विजय
<1%
अन्य
<1%
PB 10-15% 58%
PB 15-20% 27%
PB 5-10% 24%
PB 20%+ 8.3%
$46,839 वॉल्यूम
$46,839 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
PB 20%+
$3,709 वॉल्यूम
22%
PB 15-20%
$15,727 वॉल्यूम
24%
PB 10-15%
$14,639 वॉल्यूम
46%
PB 5-10%
$7,377 वॉल्यूम
24%
PB <5%
$2,540 वॉल्यूम
3%
GERB-SDS विजय
$1,672 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अन्य
$1,236 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between the two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links' April 7-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 37% versus GERB-SDS at 21% and a Center for Analysis and Marketing poll placing PB at 32% with 90 seats projected, underpin trader consensus on a PB victory margin of 10-15% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This positioning stems from PB's momentum under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that prompted the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation and Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 under proportional representation. Consistent polling gaps of 11-16% over GERB-SDS explain lower probabilities for narrower margins or a GERB-SDS win, though final turnout and late shifts could influence the outcome ahead of inevitable coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between the two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between the two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,839समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between the two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links' April 7-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 37% versus GERB-SDS at 21% and a Center for Analysis and Marketing poll placing PB at 32% with 90 seats projected, underpin trader consensus on a PB victory margin of 10-15% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This positioning stems from PB's momentum under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that prompted the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation and Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 under proportional representation. Consistent polling gaps of 11-16% over GERB-SDS explain lower probabilities for narrower margins or a GERB-SDS win, though final turnout and late shifts could influence the outcome ahead of inevitable coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between the two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between the two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
वॉल्यूम
$46,839समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Market Links' April 7-14 survey showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 37% versus GERB-SDS at 21% and a Center for Analysis and Marketing poll placing PB at 32% with 90 seats projected, underpin trader consensus on a PB victory margin of 10-15% in the April 19 snap parliamentary election. This positioning stems from PB's momentum under former President Rumen Radev, fueled by anti-corruption protests that prompted the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation and Bulgaria's eighth vote since 2021 under proportional representation. Consistent polling gaps of 11-16% over GERB-SDS explain lower probabilities for narrower margins or a GERB-SDS win, though final turnout and late shifts could influence the outcome ahead of inevitable coalition negotiations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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