Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$146,439 वॉल्यूम
28 फ़र, 2026
40%+
Yes
45%+
Yes
50%+
Yes
60%+
Yes
$146,439 वॉल्यूम
40%+
$35,018 वॉल्यूम
Yes
45%+
$50,558 वॉल्यूम
Yes
50%+
$20,930 वॉल्यूम
Yes
60%+
$39,933 वॉल्यूम
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$146,439समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$146,439समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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