Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently achieves approximately 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1–3—undergraduate to postdoc-level math problems—and 19% on research-grade Tier 4, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6% per recent Epoch AI evaluations, yet leading peer benchmarks like GPQA Diamond (94.3%) and SWE-bench (80%). Trader consensus reflects Google's DeepMind math expertise, seen in prior records like Gemini 3 Pro's 38%, amid fierce competition from Meta's Muse Spark (39% Tiers 1–3). With rapid scaling trends—doubling capabilities quarterly—and Google I/O in May looming for potential Gemini 4 previews, markets price in a strong shot at 40–60% thresholds by June 30, barring evaluation surprises or delays.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$127,667 वॉल्यूम
28 फ़र, 2026
40%+
92%
45%+
49%
50%+
34%
60%+
13%
$127,667 वॉल्यूम
40%+
$30,432 वॉल्यूम
92%
45%+
$48,271 वॉल्यूम
49%
50%+
$18,709 वॉल्यूम
34%
60%+
$30,255 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently achieves approximately 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1–3—undergraduate to postdoc-level math problems—and 19% on research-grade Tier 4, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6% per recent Epoch AI evaluations, yet leading peer benchmarks like GPQA Diamond (94.3%) and SWE-bench (80%). Trader consensus reflects Google's DeepMind math expertise, seen in prior records like Gemini 3 Pro's 38%, amid fierce competition from Meta's Muse Spark (39% Tiers 1–3). With rapid scaling trends—doubling capabilities quarterly—and Google I/O in May looming for potential Gemini 4 previews, markets price in a strong shot at 40–60% thresholds by June 30, barring evaluation surprises or delays.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$127,667समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently achieves approximately 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1–3—undergraduate to postdoc-level math problems—and 19% on research-grade Tier 4, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6% per recent Epoch AI evaluations, yet leading peer benchmarks like GPQA Diamond (94.3%) and SWE-bench (80%). Trader consensus reflects Google's DeepMind math expertise, seen in prior records like Gemini 3 Pro's 38%, amid fierce competition from Meta's Muse Spark (39% Tiers 1–3). With rapid scaling trends—doubling capabilities quarterly—and Google I/O in May looming for potential Gemini 4 previews, markets price in a strong shot at 40–60% thresholds by June 30, barring evaluation surprises or delays.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$127,667समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro currently achieves approximately 37% on FrontierMath Tiers 1–3—undergraduate to postdoc-level math problems—and 19% on research-grade Tier 4, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6% per recent Epoch AI evaluations, yet leading peer benchmarks like GPQA Diamond (94.3%) and SWE-bench (80%). Trader consensus reflects Google's DeepMind math expertise, seen in prior records like Gemini 3 Pro's 38%, amid fierce competition from Meta's Muse Spark (39% Tiers 1–3). With rapid scaling trends—doubling capabilities quarterly—and Google I/O in May looming for potential Gemini 4 previews, markets price in a strong shot at 40–60% thresholds by June 30, barring evaluation surprises or delays.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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