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icon for Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

icon for Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

दिस 31

दिस 31

$108,614 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$108,614 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

1575

$30,690 वॉल्यूम

75%

1600

$9,320 वॉल्यूम

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven the strongest gains on MathArena leaderboards, with Claude Opus 5 (max) posting an 84.4% score on recent competition sets in late July 2026 and GPT-5.6 variants close behind. These results reflect targeted post-training on math olympiad-style problems and longer inference-time compute, outpacing earlier 2025 models by double-digit margins on uncontaminated contests. Open-weight entries such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail at roughly 70%, while research-level benchmarks like ArXivMath and IMO problems still show headroom below 40% for even the best systems. New frontier drops expected before year-end, combined with incremental scaling of reasoning chains, represent the main catalysts that could push top scores higher by December 31. Traders weigh the pace of these releases against the risk of plateaus on harder proof-oriented tasks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$108,614
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven the strongest gains on MathArena leaderboards, with Claude Opus 5 (max) posting an 84.4% score on recent competition sets in late July 2026 and GPT-5.6 variants close behind. These results reflect targeted post-training on math olympiad-style problems and longer inference-time compute, outpacing earlier 2025 models by double-digit margins on uncontaminated contests. Open-weight entries such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail at roughly 70%, while research-level benchmarks like ArXivMath and IMO problems still show headroom below 40% for even the best systems. New frontier drops expected before year-end, combined with incremental scaling of reasoning chains, represent the main catalysts that could push top scores higher by December 31. Traders weigh the pace of these releases against the risk of plateaus on harder proof-oriented tasks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$108,614
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 1525 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 1550 100% पर है।

आज तक, "Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?" ने कुल $108.6K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Apr 2, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 4 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "1525" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "1550" 100% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।