Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven the strongest gains on MathArena leaderboards, with Claude Opus 5 (max) posting an 84.4% score on recent competition sets in late July 2026 and GPT-5.6 variants close behind. These results reflect targeted post-training on math olympiad-style problems and longer inference-time compute, outpacing earlier 2025 models by double-digit margins on uncontaminated contests. Open-weight entries such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail at roughly 70%, while research-level benchmarks like ArXivMath and IMO problems still show headroom below 40% for even the best systems. New frontier drops expected before year-end, combined with incremental scaling of reasoning chains, represent the main catalysts that could push top scores higher by December 31. Traders weigh the pace of these releases against the risk of plateaus on harder proof-oriented tasks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$108,614 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
1575
75%
1600
23%
$108,614 वॉल्यूम
1575
$30,690 वॉल्यूम
75%
1600
$9,320 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven the strongest gains on MathArena leaderboards, with Claude Opus 5 (max) posting an 84.4% score on recent competition sets in late July 2026 and GPT-5.6 variants close behind. These results reflect targeted post-training on math olympiad-style problems and longer inference-time compute, outpacing earlier 2025 models by double-digit margins on uncontaminated contests. Open-weight entries such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail at roughly 70%, while research-level benchmarks like ArXivMath and IMO problems still show headroom below 40% for even the best systems. New frontier drops expected before year-end, combined with incremental scaling of reasoning chains, represent the main catalysts that could push top scores higher by December 31. Traders weigh the pace of these releases against the risk of plateaus on harder proof-oriented tasks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$108,614समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven the strongest gains on MathArena leaderboards, with Claude Opus 5 (max) posting an 84.4% score on recent competition sets in late July 2026 and GPT-5.6 variants close behind. These results reflect targeted post-training on math olympiad-style problems and longer inference-time compute, outpacing earlier 2025 models by double-digit margins on uncontaminated contests. Open-weight entries such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail at roughly 70%, while research-level benchmarks like ArXivMath and IMO problems still show headroom below 40% for even the best systems. New frontier drops expected before year-end, combined with incremental scaling of reasoning chains, represent the main catalysts that could push top scores higher by December 31. Traders weigh the pace of these releases against the risk of plateaus on harder proof-oriented tasks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$108,614समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven the strongest gains on MathArena leaderboards, with Claude Opus 5 (max) posting an 84.4% score on recent competition sets in late July 2026 and GPT-5.6 variants close behind. These results reflect targeted post-training on math olympiad-style problems and longer inference-time compute, outpacing earlier 2025 models by double-digit margins on uncontaminated contests. Open-weight entries such as Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail at roughly 70%, while research-level benchmarks like ArXivMath and IMO problems still show headroom below 40% for even the best systems. New frontier drops expected before year-end, combined with incremental scaling of reasoning chains, represent the main catalysts that could push top scores higher by December 31. Traders weigh the pace of these releases against the risk of plateaus on harder proof-oriented tasks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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