Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven strong trader consensus on math benchmark progress, with Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 models posting leading scores above 79% on MathArena leaderboards through July 2026. Competitive pressure from Moonshot AI's Kimi series and Qwen updates continues to accelerate capability gains in contest-level mathematics. Traders are watching for additional frontier model launches and extended reasoning optimizations in the final months of the year, as these could push aggregate scores higher before the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns show rapid iteration cycles in the fourth quarter, though model training timelines and evaluation contamination risks introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$108,614 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
1575
75%
1600
23%
$108,614 वॉल्यूम
1575
$30,690 वॉल्यूम
75%
1600
$9,320 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven strong trader consensus on math benchmark progress, with Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 models posting leading scores above 79% on MathArena leaderboards through July 2026. Competitive pressure from Moonshot AI's Kimi series and Qwen updates continues to accelerate capability gains in contest-level mathematics. Traders are watching for additional frontier model launches and extended reasoning optimizations in the final months of the year, as these could push aggregate scores higher before the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns show rapid iteration cycles in the fourth quarter, though model training timelines and evaluation contamination risks introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$108,614समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven strong trader consensus on math benchmark progress, with Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 models posting leading scores above 79% on MathArena leaderboards through July 2026. Competitive pressure from Moonshot AI's Kimi series and Qwen updates continues to accelerate capability gains in contest-level mathematics. Traders are watching for additional frontier model launches and extended reasoning optimizations in the final months of the year, as these could push aggregate scores higher before the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns show rapid iteration cycles in the fourth quarter, though model training timelines and evaluation contamination risks introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$108,614समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven strong trader consensus on math benchmark progress, with Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 models posting leading scores above 79% on MathArena leaderboards through July 2026. Competitive pressure from Moonshot AI's Kimi series and Qwen updates continues to accelerate capability gains in contest-level mathematics. Traders are watching for additional frontier model launches and extended reasoning optimizations in the final months of the year, as these could push aggregate scores higher before the December 31 deadline. Historical patterns show rapid iteration cycles in the fourth quarter, though model training timelines and evaluation contamination risks introduce uncertainty around exact thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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