OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader sentiment, with the 63.2% probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap reflecting expectations of continued AI-driven revenue expansion from the company’s $40B+ annualized run rate. The March 2026 private round at $852 billion, heavy compute investments, and competitive positioning against Anthropic underpin the bullish pricing, even as advisers flagged risks of listing below target. Recent SpaceX IPO volatility prompted a lean toward a 2027 debut to avoid discounting, yet the low 10.4% odds on no IPO by end-2027 signal broad conviction that an offering will occur and command premium multiples amid sector momentum. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution timing and post-listing performance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1.5T+ 63.3%
1.25T–1.5T 13%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं 10.4%
1T–1.25T 8.9%
$205,719 वॉल्यूम
$205,719 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
9%
1.25T–1.5T
13%
1.5T+
63%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
10%
1.5T+ 63.3%
1.25T–1.5T 13%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं 10.4%
1T–1.25T 8.9%
$205,719 वॉल्यूम
$205,719 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
$16,800 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500–750B
$18,603 वॉल्यूम
1%
750B–1T
$39,308 वॉल्यूम
8%
1T–1.25T
$24,120 वॉल्यूम
9%
1.25T–1.5T
$16,884 वॉल्यूम
13%
1.5T+
$48,033 वॉल्यूम
63%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
$41,973 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader sentiment, with the 63.2% probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap reflecting expectations of continued AI-driven revenue expansion from the company’s $40B+ annualized run rate. The March 2026 private round at $852 billion, heavy compute investments, and competitive positioning against Anthropic underpin the bullish pricing, even as advisers flagged risks of listing below target. Recent SpaceX IPO volatility prompted a lean toward a 2027 debut to avoid discounting, yet the low 10.4% odds on no IPO by end-2027 signal broad conviction that an offering will occur and command premium multiples amid sector momentum. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution timing and post-listing performance.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$205,719समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader sentiment, with the 63.2% probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap reflecting expectations of continued AI-driven revenue expansion from the company’s $40B+ annualized run rate. The March 2026 private round at $852 billion, heavy compute investments, and competitive positioning against Anthropic underpin the bullish pricing, even as advisers flagged risks of listing below target. Recent SpaceX IPO volatility prompted a lean toward a 2027 debut to avoid discounting, yet the low 10.4% odds on no IPO by end-2027 signal broad conviction that an offering will occur and command premium multiples amid sector momentum. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution timing and post-listing performance.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$205,719समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2028बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion-plus valuation have anchored trader sentiment, with the 63.2% probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap reflecting expectations of continued AI-driven revenue expansion from the company’s $40B+ annualized run rate. The March 2026 private round at $852 billion, heavy compute investments, and competitive positioning against Anthropic underpin the bullish pricing, even as advisers flagged risks of listing below target. Recent SpaceX IPO volatility prompted a lean toward a 2027 debut to avoid discounting, yet the low 10.4% odds on no IPO by end-2027 signal broad conviction that an offering will occur and command premium multiples amid sector momentum. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution timing and post-listing performance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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