Databricks’ sustained revenue momentum, with annualized recurring revenue exceeding $7 billion and growth rates above 80% year-over-year, underpins trader expectations for a substantial IPO valuation, while the company’s latest private round closed at $190 billion in August 2026. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to sidestep a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—citing competition from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—has shifted focus to 2027, leaving the “no IPO by December 31, 2027” outcome at 21.5% and balancing implied probabilities near 47% across the $150–450 billion brackets. This reflects uncertainty over listing timing, public-market multiples for AI infrastructure names, and potential volatility in equity sentiment closer to any filing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
95%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक आईपीओ नहीं
22%
$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
$350B-$400B 95%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
95%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक आईपीओ नहीं
22%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ sustained revenue momentum, with annualized recurring revenue exceeding $7 billion and growth rates above 80% year-over-year, underpins trader expectations for a substantial IPO valuation, while the company’s latest private round closed at $190 billion in August 2026. CEO Ali Ghodsi’s June 2026 decision to sidestep a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—citing competition from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic—has shifted focus to 2027, leaving the “no IPO by December 31, 2027” outcome at 21.5% and balancing implied probabilities near 47% across the $150–450 billion brackets. This reflects uncertainty over listing timing, public-market multiples for AI infrastructure names, and potential volatility in equity sentiment closer to any filing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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