Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an implied 89.5% probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its advanced preparations including confidential SEC filings in early April, planned investor site visits this week, and a targeted early June roadshow for a potential mid-June pricing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion initially, integrates AI capabilities like foundation models atop Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue, dwarfing competitors. Anthropic and OpenAI eye later-year listings at sub-$1 trillion valuations amid ongoing funding rounds, while others lack firm timelines. Uncertainties include market volatility and final pricing, with resolution hinging on execution before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयास्पेसएक्स 90%
एंथ्रॉपिक 3.4%
OpenAI 3.3%
डिस्कॉर्ड 1.6%
$1,707,484 वॉल्यूम
$1,707,484 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्पेसएक्स
90%
एंथ्रॉपिक
3%
OpenAI
3%
डिस्कॉर्ड
2%
डेटाब्रिक्स
1%
स्ट्राइप
<1%
क्रैकन
<1%
पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
<1%
बाइटडांस
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Revolut
<1%
वेमो
<1%
स्पेसएक्स 90%
एंथ्रॉपिक 3.4%
OpenAI 3.3%
डिस्कॉर्ड 1.6%
$1,707,484 वॉल्यूम
$1,707,484 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्पेसएक्स
$209,740 वॉल्यूम
90%
एंथ्रॉपिक
$348,361 वॉल्यूम
3%
OpenAI
$304,551 वॉल्यूम
3%
डिस्कॉर्ड
$74,319 वॉल्यूम
2%
डेटाब्रिक्स
$71,385 वॉल्यूम
1%
स्ट्राइप
$40,393 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्रैकन
$376,850 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
$55,683 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइटडांस
$87,768 वॉल्यूम
<1%
SHEIN
$57,592 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Revolut
$32,198 वॉल्यूम
<1%
वेमो
$49,649 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an implied 89.5% probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its advanced preparations including confidential SEC filings in early April, planned investor site visits this week, and a targeted early June roadshow for a potential mid-June pricing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion initially, integrates AI capabilities like foundation models atop Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue, dwarfing competitors. Anthropic and OpenAI eye later-year listings at sub-$1 trillion valuations amid ongoing funding rounds, while others lack firm timelines. Uncertainties include market volatility and final pricing, with resolution hinging on execution before year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,707,484समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an implied 89.5% probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its advanced preparations including confidential SEC filings in early April, planned investor site visits this week, and a targeted early June roadshow for a potential mid-June pricing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion initially, integrates AI capabilities like foundation models atop Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue, dwarfing competitors. Anthropic and OpenAI eye later-year listings at sub-$1 trillion valuations amid ongoing funding rounds, while others lack firm timelines. Uncertainties include market volatility and final pricing, with resolution hinging on execution before year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$1,707,484समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an implied 89.5% probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its advanced preparations including confidential SEC filings in early April, planned investor site visits this week, and a targeted early June roadshow for a potential mid-June pricing at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise. The February merger with xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion initially, integrates AI capabilities like foundation models atop Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue, dwarfing competitors. Anthropic and OpenAI eye later-year listings at sub-$1 trillion valuations amid ongoing funding rounds, while others lack firm timelines. Uncertainties include market volatility and final pricing, with resolution hinging on execution before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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