Anthropic holds a narrow 54.4% implied probability lead over SpaceX at 45.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, reflecting trader focus on its targeted October Nasdaq debut at roughly $2 trillion or higher. SpaceX completed its record June listing at a $1.77 trillion valuation (first-day close near $2.1 trillion) after acquiring xAI earlier in the year, establishing a high benchmark. Anthropic’s momentum stems from its confidential June S-1 filing, revenue run-rate surging past $65 billion, and recent private/secondary valuations climbing to $965 billion–$1.28 trillion. Key swing factors include Anthropic’s final pricing amid supportive AI multiples versus any post-IPO weakness in SpaceX shares, with xAI and other candidates at far lower odds due to acquisition or delayed timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में मार्केट कैप द्वारा सबसे बड़ा आईपीओ?
एंथ्रॉपिक 54.5%
स्पेसएक्स 46%
OpenAI <1%
बाइटडांस <1%
$6,040,710 वॉल्यूम
$6,040,710 वॉल्यूम

एंथ्रॉपिक
55%

स्पेसएक्स
46%

OpenAI
1%

बाइटडांस
<1%

स्ट्राइप
<1%

डेटाब्रिक्स
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

वेमो
<1%

Revolut
<1%

डिस्कॉर्ड
<1%

पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
<1%

क्रैकन
<1%
एंथ्रॉपिक 54.5%
स्पेसएक्स 46%
OpenAI <1%
बाइटडांस <1%
$6,040,710 वॉल्यूम
$6,040,710 वॉल्यूम

एंथ्रॉपिक
55%

स्पेसएक्स
46%

OpenAI
1%

बाइटडांस
<1%

स्ट्राइप
<1%

डेटाब्रिक्स
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

वेमो
<1%

Revolut
<1%

डिस्कॉर्ड
<1%

पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
<1%

क्रैकन
<1%
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic holds a narrow 54.4% implied probability lead over SpaceX at 45.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, reflecting trader focus on its targeted October Nasdaq debut at roughly $2 trillion or higher. SpaceX completed its record June listing at a $1.77 trillion valuation (first-day close near $2.1 trillion) after acquiring xAI earlier in the year, establishing a high benchmark. Anthropic’s momentum stems from its confidential June S-1 filing, revenue run-rate surging past $65 billion, and recent private/secondary valuations climbing to $965 billion–$1.28 trillion. Key swing factors include Anthropic’s final pricing amid supportive AI multiples versus any post-IPO weakness in SpaceX shares, with xAI and other candidates at far lower odds due to acquisition or delayed timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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