SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.75–2 trillion-plus valuation, raising roughly $75 billion and surpassing prior records, anchors its 54.5% implied probability as the leading outcome. Trader consensus prices in the scale of its Starlink and launch revenue trajectory plus the xAI integration, while Anthropic's 44.1% reflects its June confidential filing, rapid valuation climb toward $900 billion–$2 trillion, and expected later-2026 listing. xAI's 25.5% probability is tempered by its February merger into SpaceX, limiting standalone optionality. Lower-probability names such as OpenAI and Stripe show minimal recent IPO momentum or regulatory progress. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic's potential October pricing and any post-IPO market-cap adjustments for SpaceX.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में मार्केट कैप द्वारा सबसे बड़ा आईपीओ?
स्पेसएक्स 55%
एंथ्रॉपिक 44.1%
OpenAI <1%
डिस्कॉर्ड <1%
$5,444,768 वॉल्यूम
$5,444,768 वॉल्यूम

स्पेसएक्स
55%

एंथ्रॉपिक
44%

OpenAI
<1%

डिस्कॉर्ड
<1%

बाइटडांस
<1%

स्ट्राइप
<1%

क्रैकन
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

वेमो
<1%

Revolut
<1%

पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
<1%

डेटाब्रिक्स
<1%
स्पेसएक्स 55%
एंथ्रॉपिक 44.1%
OpenAI <1%
डिस्कॉर्ड <1%
$5,444,768 वॉल्यूम
$5,444,768 वॉल्यूम

स्पेसएक्स
55%

एंथ्रॉपिक
44%

OpenAI
<1%

डिस्कॉर्ड
<1%

बाइटडांस
<1%

स्ट्राइप
<1%

क्रैकन
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

वेमो
<1%

Revolut
<1%

पर्प्लेक्सिटी एआई
<1%

डेटाब्रिक्स
<1%
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.75–2 trillion-plus valuation, raising roughly $75 billion and surpassing prior records, anchors its 54.5% implied probability as the leading outcome. Trader consensus prices in the scale of its Starlink and launch revenue trajectory plus the xAI integration, while Anthropic's 44.1% reflects its June confidential filing, rapid valuation climb toward $900 billion–$2 trillion, and expected later-2026 listing. xAI's 25.5% probability is tempered by its February merger into SpaceX, limiting standalone optionality. Lower-probability names such as OpenAI and Stripe show minimal recent IPO momentum or regulatory progress. Key catalysts ahead include Anthropic's potential October pricing and any post-IPO market-cap adjustments for SpaceX.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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