Recent Colorado State University and NOAA forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, released in early April, predict below-average activity with about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and only 2 major hurricanes (Category 3+ on the Saffir-Simpson scale), driven by a likely El Niño development—61% chance by May-July per the Climate Prediction Center—boosting upper-level wind shear that hinders storm formation and intensification. No Category 4 hurricane has made U.S. landfall since Ian in 2022, with 2023–2025 seasons producing no such events despite some Cat 4 formations elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects this rarity, historically averaging fewer than one Cat 4 U.S. landfall every three years, though uncertainty persists as seasonal outlooks update in May and the June 1–November 30 window approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या कोई श्रेणी 4 का तूफान 2027 से पहले अमेरिका में दस्तक देगा?
क्या कोई श्रेणी 4 का तूफान 2027 से पहले अमेरिका में दस्तक देगा?
हाँ
$324,304 वॉल्यूम
$324,304 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$324,304 वॉल्यूम
$324,304 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Recent Colorado State University and NOAA forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, released in early April, predict below-average activity with about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and only 2 major hurricanes (Category 3+ on the Saffir-Simpson scale), driven by a likely El Niño development—61% chance by May-July per the Climate Prediction Center—boosting upper-level wind shear that hinders storm formation and intensification. No Category 4 hurricane has made U.S. landfall since Ian in 2022, with 2023–2025 seasons producing no such events despite some Cat 4 formations elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects this rarity, historically averaging fewer than one Cat 4 U.S. landfall every three years, though uncertainty persists as seasonal outlooks update in May and the June 1–November 30 window approaches.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 29, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$324,304समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 29, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Recent Colorado State University and NOAA forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, released in early April, predict below-average activity with about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and only 2 major hurricanes (Category 3+ on the Saffir-Simpson scale), driven by a likely El Niño development—61% chance by May-July per the Climate Prediction Center—boosting upper-level wind shear that hinders storm formation and intensification. No Category 4 hurricane has made U.S. landfall since Ian in 2022, with 2023–2025 seasons producing no such events despite some Cat 4 formations elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects this rarity, historically averaging fewer than one Cat 4 U.S. landfall every three years, though uncertainty persists as seasonal outlooks update in May and the June 1–November 30 window approaches.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
वॉल्यूम
$324,304समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 29, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Colorado State University and NOAA forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, released in early April, predict below-average activity with about 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and only 2 major hurricanes (Category 3+ on the Saffir-Simpson scale), driven by a likely El Niño development—61% chance by May-July per the Climate Prediction Center—boosting upper-level wind shear that hinders storm formation and intensification. No Category 4 hurricane has made U.S. landfall since Ian in 2022, with 2023–2025 seasons producing no such events despite some Cat 4 formations elsewhere. Trader consensus reflects this rarity, historically averaging fewer than one Cat 4 U.S. landfall every three years, though uncertainty persists as seasonal outlooks update in May and the June 1–November 30 window approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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