Traders' strong 93% consensus on "No" for a hurricane landfall in the US by May 31 reflects the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential in the Atlantic basin, amid sea surface temperatures (SSTs) well below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane formation. High vertical wind shear and cool main development region waters, confirmed by recent NOAA monitoring, further suppress early-season activity, aligning with historical records of zero hurricane (Category 1+) US landfalls before June over 170+ years. Colorado State University's April outlook reinforces below-normal seasonal risks from lingering weak La Niña effects. Realistic challengers include anomalous SST spikes or shear collapse enabling a rare pre-season system, with NHC updates tracked weekly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या तूफान 31 मई तक अमेरिका में दस्तक देगा?
क्या तूफान 31 मई तक अमेरिका में दस्तक देगा?
$13,991 वॉल्यूम
$13,991 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
$13,991 वॉल्यूम
$13,991 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.Traders' strong 93% consensus on "No" for a hurricane landfall in the US by May 31 reflects the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential in the Atlantic basin, amid sea surface temperatures (SSTs) well below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane formation. High vertical wind shear and cool main development region waters, confirmed by recent NOAA monitoring, further suppress early-season activity, aligning with historical records of zero hurricane (Category 1+) US landfalls before June over 170+ years. Colorado State University's April outlook reinforces below-normal seasonal risks from lingering weak La Niña effects. Realistic challengers include anomalous SST spikes or shear collapse enabling a rare pre-season system, with NHC updates tracked weekly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,991समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.Traders' strong 93% consensus on "No" for a hurricane landfall in the US by May 31 reflects the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential in the Atlantic basin, amid sea surface temperatures (SSTs) well below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane formation. High vertical wind shear and cool main development region waters, confirmed by recent NOAA monitoring, further suppress early-season activity, aligning with historical records of zero hurricane (Category 1+) US landfalls before June over 170+ years. Colorado State University's April outlook reinforces below-normal seasonal risks from lingering weak La Niña effects. Realistic challengers include anomalous SST spikes or shear collapse enabling a rare pre-season system, with NHC updates tracked weekly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
वॉल्यूम
$13,991समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong 93% consensus on "No" for a hurricane landfall in the US by May 31 reflects the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential in the Atlantic basin, amid sea surface temperatures (SSTs) well below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane formation. High vertical wind shear and cool main development region waters, confirmed by recent NOAA monitoring, further suppress early-season activity, aligning with historical records of zero hurricane (Category 1+) US landfalls before June over 170+ years. Colorado State University's April outlook reinforces below-normal seasonal risks from lingering weak La Niña effects. Realistic challengers include anomalous SST spikes or shear collapse enabling a rare pre-season system, with NHC updates tracked weekly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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