Strong early- and mid-year tornado activity in 2026, including record counts in Illinois exceeding 160 by June and multiple Midwest outbreaks, has driven the annual U.S. total well above the long-term average of roughly 1,200–1,300 confirmed tornadoes tracked by the Storm Prediction Center. With more than 1,200 already recorded through late summer and typical fall months still adding dozens more, market-implied odds heavily favor 1,250+. Cooler, less favorable patterns or fewer tropical cyclone interactions could modestly reduce late-season counts, yet current observational trends and climatological baselines make a substantial shortfall unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर हैं?
2026 में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर हैं?
1250+ 91%
1150–1199 4.1%
1200–1249 4.0%
1100–1149 3.8%
$83,038 वॉल्यूम
$83,038 वॉल्यूम
9 जन, 2027
<950
<1%
950–999
<1%
1000–1049
<1%
1050–1099
<1%
1100–1149
4%
1150–1199
4%
1200–1249
4%
1250+
91%
1250+ 91%
1150–1199 4.1%
1200–1249 4.0%
1100–1149 3.8%
$83,038 वॉल्यूम
$83,038 वॉल्यूम
9 जन, 2027
<950
$23,841 वॉल्यूम
<1%
950–999
$3,731 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1000–1049
$3,451 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1050–1099
$9,289 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1100–1149
$3,368 वॉल्यूम
4%
1150–1199
$4,192 वॉल्यूम
4%
1200–1249
$16,027 वॉल्यूम
4%
1250+
$19,139 वॉल्यूम
91%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Strong early- and mid-year tornado activity in 2026, including record counts in Illinois exceeding 160 by June and multiple Midwest outbreaks, has driven the annual U.S. total well above the long-term average of roughly 1,200–1,300 confirmed tornadoes tracked by the Storm Prediction Center. With more than 1,200 already recorded through late summer and typical fall months still adding dozens more, market-implied odds heavily favor 1,250+. Cooler, less favorable patterns or fewer tropical cyclone interactions could modestly reduce late-season counts, yet current observational trends and climatological baselines make a substantial shortfall unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 24, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$83,038समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 24, 2026, 6:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Strong early- and mid-year tornado activity in 2026, including record counts in Illinois exceeding 160 by June and multiple Midwest outbreaks, has driven the annual U.S. total well above the long-term average of roughly 1,200–1,300 confirmed tornadoes tracked by the Storm Prediction Center. With more than 1,200 already recorded through late summer and typical fall months still adding dozens more, market-implied odds heavily favor 1,250+. Cooler, less favorable patterns or fewer tropical cyclone interactions could modestly reduce late-season counts, yet current observational trends and climatological baselines make a substantial shortfall unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count.
As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases. The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
वॉल्यूम
$83,038समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 24, 2026, 6:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Strong early- and mid-year tornado activity in 2026, including record counts in Illinois exceeding 160 by June and multiple Midwest outbreaks, has driven the annual U.S. total well above the long-term average of roughly 1,200–1,300 confirmed tornadoes tracked by the Storm Prediction Center. With more than 1,200 already recorded through late summer and typical fall months still adding dozens more, market-implied odds heavily favor 1,250+. Cooler, less favorable patterns or fewer tropical cyclone interactions could modestly reduce late-season counts, yet current observational trends and climatological baselines make a substantial shortfall unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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