Recent numerical weather models, including GFS runs, show Beijing under clear skies and light northerly winds on September 13, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C as dry continental air and autumnal solar heating promote strong surface warming. Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles cluster around 29–30 °C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping the distribution tight. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C (55.5 %) versus 30 °C (25.5 %) reflects trader emphasis on the upper end of model spreads and potential for localized peaks at the official station, while lower probabilities for 32 °C or below acknowledge remaining ensemble variance and historical September variability around a 27 °C climatological mean. Final resolution depends on the next 24-hour observational update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 56%
30°C 26%
32°C 12%
29°C 6%
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
26%
31°C
56%
32°C
12%
33°C
1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 26%
32°C 12%
29°C 6%
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
26%
31°C
56%
32°C
12%
33°C
1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models, including GFS runs, show Beijing under clear skies and light northerly winds on September 13, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–31 °C as dry continental air and autumnal solar heating promote strong surface warming. Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles cluster around 29–30 °C, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk keeping the distribution tight. The market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C (55.5 %) versus 30 °C (25.5 %) reflects trader emphasis on the upper end of model spreads and potential for localized peaks at the official station, while lower probabilities for 32 °C or below acknowledge remaining ensemble variance and historical September variability around a 27 °C climatological mean. Final resolution depends on the next 24-hour observational update.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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