Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
12 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
32°C 67%
31°C 19%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
नया
$12,117 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,117 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
19%
32°C
67%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 67%
31°C 19%
33°C 10%
30°C 2%
नया
$12,117 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,117 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
27°C या उससे कम
$692 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$383 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$399 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$403 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$2,444 वॉल्यूम
19%
32°C
$4,534 वॉल्यूम
67%
33°C
$2,144 वॉल्यूम
10%
34°C
$264 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$264 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C
$445 वॉल्यूम
<1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
$145 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,117समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,117समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and maximum temperatures of 31–32°C in Madrid on September 12, driving the 59.5% implied probability for 32°C as the day's high. This aligns with the strong consensus among recent model runs, which show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation to suppress daytime heating under a stable high-pressure pattern. The 26.5% odds on 31°C and 14.5% on 33°C reflect minor uncertainties in peak timing or local variations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the dry, sunny conditions expected. Historical September averages near 27°C underscore the above-normal warmth, with resolution hinging on official station readings at resolution time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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