Forecast consensus from numerical models points to a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly to southeasterly winds under a stable late-summer pattern. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble outputs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, allowing strong daytime insolation to elevate surface temperatures above the long-term average high of roughly 27°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent with little spread, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 32–33°C range that accounts for over 94% of implied probability. Any deviation would require an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased humidity, though current observations indicate stable conditions through the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
13 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
33°C 61%
32°C 35%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.6%
नया
$12,703 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,703 वॉल्यूम
13 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
35%
33°C
61%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 35%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.6%
नया
$12,703 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,703 वॉल्यूम
13 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$239 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$173 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$320 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$260 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$226 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$1,745 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$3,932 वॉल्यूम
35%
33°C
$2,984 वॉल्यूम
61%
34°C
$2,184 वॉल्यूम
5%
35°C
$228 वॉल्यूम
1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$414 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical models points to a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly to southeasterly winds under a stable late-summer pattern. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble outputs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, allowing strong daytime insolation to elevate surface temperatures above the long-term average high of roughly 27°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent with little spread, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 32–33°C range that accounts for over 94% of implied probability. Any deviation would require an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased humidity, though current observations indicate stable conditions through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,703समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical models points to a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly to southeasterly winds under a stable late-summer pattern. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble outputs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, allowing strong daytime insolation to elevate surface temperatures above the long-term average high of roughly 27°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent with little spread, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 32–33°C range that accounts for over 94% of implied probability. Any deviation would require an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased humidity, though current observations indicate stable conditions through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,703समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from numerical models points to a peak temperature of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly to southeasterly winds under a stable late-summer pattern. Official guidance from AEMET and ensemble outputs show minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, allowing strong daytime insolation to elevate surface temperatures above the long-term average high of roughly 27°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent with little spread, supporting trader emphasis on the narrow 32–33°C range that accounts for over 94% of implied probability. Any deviation would require an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased humidity, though current observations indicate stable conditions through the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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