Forecast uncertainty for Madrid’s overnight minimum on September 13 drives the near-even market split between sub-15 °C (49.5 %) and 25 °C-plus (45 %) outcomes. Official guidance from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles shows the city under a transitional post-summer regime where clear skies could allow strong radiative cooling and dew-point suppression, pushing lows toward or below 15 °C, while a warmer southeasterly flow or increased cloud cover would limit nocturnal heat loss and keep readings closer to 20 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and 10-meter wind speeds remains the dominant variable, with the next high-resolution run expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical mid-September minima average near 16–18 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across multiple bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
13 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
25°C या उससे अधिक 87%
15°C या उससे कम 46%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
नया
नया
13 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
46%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
87%
25°C या उससे अधिक 87%
15°C या उससे कम 46%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
नया
नया
13 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
46%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Madrid’s overnight minimum on September 13 drives the near-even market split between sub-15 °C (49.5 %) and 25 °C-plus (45 %) outcomes. Official guidance from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles shows the city under a transitional post-summer regime where clear skies could allow strong radiative cooling and dew-point suppression, pushing lows toward or below 15 °C, while a warmer southeasterly flow or increased cloud cover would limit nocturnal heat loss and keep readings closer to 20 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and 10-meter wind speeds remains the dominant variable, with the next high-resolution run expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical mid-September minima average near 16–18 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across multiple bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Madrid’s overnight minimum on September 13 drives the near-even market split between sub-15 °C (49.5 %) and 25 °C-plus (45 %) outcomes. Official guidance from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles shows the city under a transitional post-summer regime where clear skies could allow strong radiative cooling and dew-point suppression, pushing lows toward or below 15 °C, while a warmer southeasterly flow or increased cloud cover would limit nocturnal heat loss and keep readings closer to 20 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and 10-meter wind speeds remains the dominant variable, with the next high-resolution run expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical mid-September minima average near 16–18 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across multiple bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
13 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Madrid’s overnight minimum on September 13 drives the near-even market split between sub-15 °C (49.5 %) and 25 °C-plus (45 %) outcomes. Official guidance from AEMET and ECMWF ensembles shows the city under a transitional post-summer regime where clear skies could allow strong radiative cooling and dew-point suppression, pushing lows toward or below 15 °C, while a warmer southeasterly flow or increased cloud cover would limit nocturnal heat loss and keep readings closer to 20 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and 10-meter wind speeds remains the dominant variable, with the next high-resolution run expected to narrow the range before resolution. Historical mid-September minima average near 16–18 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across multiple bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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