Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate clear skies, high pressure, and light northeast winds over Madrid on September 12, supporting overnight radiative cooling to minimum temperatures near 16–18°C by early morning, consistent with the 16°C climatological average low. This setup explains the tight market clustering around 13–14°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on dry, stable conditions against minor variations in dew points or local urban heat effects. With no incoming fronts or moisture to moderate cooling, probabilities favor values near or slightly below the seasonal norm, though final readings depend on the precise timing of the daily minimum at the reference station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 99.4%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
11°C या उससे कम
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या अधिक
<1%
14°C 99.4%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
11°C या उससे कम
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate clear skies, high pressure, and light northeast winds over Madrid on September 12, supporting overnight radiative cooling to minimum temperatures near 16–18°C by early morning, consistent with the 16°C climatological average low. This setup explains the tight market clustering around 13–14°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus on dry, stable conditions against minor variations in dew points or local urban heat effects. With no incoming fronts or moisture to moderate cooling, probabilities favor values near or slightly below the seasonal norm, though final readings depend on the precise timing of the daily minimum at the reference station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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