Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high near 34°C in Madrid on September 14 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors gradual warming. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 34°C and 35°C, as recent runs show daytime maxima climbing from the low 30s°C observed on September 12–13 without significant cooling influences. Historical context supports these values, with the September 14 record at 34.4°C and typical late-summer averages near 27°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, though final model updates before the date could still shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
14 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 54%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
36°C 1.7%
नया
नया
14 सित, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
24%
34°C
54%
35°C
22%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 24%
35°C 22%
36°C 1.7%
नया
नया
14 सित, 2026
29°C या उससे कम
$186 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$266 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$171 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$203 वॉल्यूम
2%
33°C
$843 वॉल्यूम
24%
34°C
$993 वॉल्यूम
54%
35°C
$1,088 वॉल्यूम
22%
36°C
$226 वॉल्यूम
2%
37°C
$171 वॉल्यूम
<1%
38°C
$191 वॉल्यूम
<1%
39°C या उससे अधिक
$206 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high near 34°C in Madrid on September 14 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors gradual warming. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 34°C and 35°C, as recent runs show daytime maxima climbing from the low 30s°C observed on September 12–13 without significant cooling influences. Historical context supports these values, with the September 14 record at 34.4°C and typical late-summer averages near 27°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, though final model updates before the date could still shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,545समाप्ति तिथि
14 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high near 34°C in Madrid on September 14 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors gradual warming. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 34°C and 35°C, as recent runs show daytime maxima climbing from the low 30s°C observed on September 12–13 without significant cooling influences. Historical context supports these values, with the September 14 record at 34.4°C and typical late-summer averages near 27°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, though final model updates before the date could still shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,545समाप्ति तिथि
14 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a high near 34°C in Madrid on September 14 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors gradual warming. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 34°C and 35°C, as recent runs show daytime maxima climbing from the low 30s°C observed on September 12–13 without significant cooling influences. Historical context supports these values, with the September 14 record at 34.4°C and typical late-summer averages near 27°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, though final model updates before the date could still shift the exact peak by 1–2°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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