Trader consensus favoring no new pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability reflects the absence of any novel pathogen with sustained human-to-human transmission through mid-August, despite the WHO-declared PHEIC for the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the DRC and Uganda. Regional surges in mpox clade I, hantavirus, dengue, and chikungunya remain geographically contained without exponential growth or reassortment per CDC and WHO surveillance data. Post-COVID enhancements in genomic sequencing and early-warning networks have strengthened containment. Realistic challenges include undetected zoonotic spillovers or viral evolution in reservoirs that could enable rapid international spread before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
6% संभावना
$1,018,710 वॉल्यूम
$1,018,710 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
6% संभावना
$1,018,710 वॉल्यूम
$1,018,710 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Trader consensus favoring no new pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability reflects the absence of any novel pathogen with sustained human-to-human transmission through mid-August, despite the WHO-declared PHEIC for the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the DRC and Uganda. Regional surges in mpox clade I, hantavirus, dengue, and chikungunya remain geographically contained without exponential growth or reassortment per CDC and WHO surveillance data. Post-COVID enhancements in genomic sequencing and early-warning networks have strengthened containment. Realistic challenges include undetected zoonotic spillovers or viral evolution in reservoirs that could enable rapid international spread before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,018,710समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Trader consensus favoring no new pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability reflects the absence of any novel pathogen with sustained human-to-human transmission through mid-August, despite the WHO-declared PHEIC for the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the DRC and Uganda. Regional surges in mpox clade I, hantavirus, dengue, and chikungunya remain geographically contained without exponential growth or reassortment per CDC and WHO surveillance data. Post-COVID enhancements in genomic sequencing and early-warning networks have strengthened containment. Realistic challenges include undetected zoonotic spillovers or viral evolution in reservoirs that could enable rapid international spread before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
वॉल्यूम
$1,018,710समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favoring no new pandemic in 2026 at 94.5% implied probability reflects the absence of any novel pathogen with sustained human-to-human transmission through mid-August, despite the WHO-declared PHEIC for the Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the DRC and Uganda. Regional surges in mpox clade I, hantavirus, dengue, and chikungunya remain geographically contained without exponential growth or reassortment per CDC and WHO surveillance data. Post-COVID enhancements in genomic sequencing and early-warning networks have strengthened containment. Realistic challenges include undetected zoonotic spillovers or viral evolution in reservoirs that could enable rapid international spread before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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