Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison time amid his ongoing New York rape retrial, with jury selection kicking off April 14 in Manhattan—his third trial following a 2024 conviction overturn and 2025 partial verdict/mistrial. No additional prison time leads at 34.6% implied probability, driven by his defense's track record of appellate wins, a new legal team since February, and health woes at age 74 prompting compassionate release speculation, while his standing 16-year California sexual assault sentence (appeal pending) bolsters 10-20 years at 25.6%. Competitive dynamics hinge on trial verdict in coming weeks, potential plea deals, and appeals; a conviction could push toward 20-30 years (24.3%), but acquittals or reversals keep no-prison odds viable in this #MeToo landmark case.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 34.7%
10-20 साल 25.6%
20-30 साल 24.3%
30+ साल 6.6%
$833,279 वॉल्यूम
$833,279 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
35%
5 वर्ष से कम
3%
5-10 साल
4%
10-20 साल
26%
20-30 साल
24%
30+ साल
7%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 34.7%
10-20 साल 25.6%
20-30 साल 24.3%
30+ साल 6.6%
$833,279 वॉल्यूम
$833,279 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$317,793 वॉल्यूम
35%
5 वर्ष से कम
$92,970 वॉल्यूम
3%
5-10 साल
$51,888 वॉल्यूम
4%
10-20 साल
$138,163 वॉल्यूम
26%
20-30 साल
$177,713 वॉल्यूम
24%
30+ साल
$54,751 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison time amid his ongoing New York rape retrial, with jury selection kicking off April 14 in Manhattan—his third trial following a 2024 conviction overturn and 2025 partial verdict/mistrial. No additional prison time leads at 34.6% implied probability, driven by his defense's track record of appellate wins, a new legal team since February, and health woes at age 74 prompting compassionate release speculation, while his standing 16-year California sexual assault sentence (appeal pending) bolsters 10-20 years at 25.6%. Competitive dynamics hinge on trial verdict in coming weeks, potential plea deals, and appeals; a conviction could push toward 20-30 years (24.3%), but acquittals or reversals keep no-prison odds viable in this #MeToo landmark case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$833,279समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison time amid his ongoing New York rape retrial, with jury selection kicking off April 14 in Manhattan—his third trial following a 2024 conviction overturn and 2025 partial verdict/mistrial. No additional prison time leads at 34.6% implied probability, driven by his defense's track record of appellate wins, a new legal team since February, and health woes at age 74 prompting compassionate release speculation, while his standing 16-year California sexual assault sentence (appeal pending) bolsters 10-20 years at 25.6%. Competitive dynamics hinge on trial verdict in coming weeks, potential plea deals, and appeals; a conviction could push toward 20-30 years (24.3%), but acquittals or reversals keep no-prison odds viable in this #MeToo landmark case.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$833,279समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's final prison time amid his ongoing New York rape retrial, with jury selection kicking off April 14 in Manhattan—his third trial following a 2024 conviction overturn and 2025 partial verdict/mistrial. No additional prison time leads at 34.6% implied probability, driven by his defense's track record of appellate wins, a new legal team since February, and health woes at age 74 prompting compassionate release speculation, while his standing 16-year California sexual assault sentence (appeal pending) bolsters 10-20 years at 25.6%. Competitive dynamics hinge on trial verdict in coming weeks, potential plea deals, and appeals; a conviction could push toward 20-30 years (24.3%), but acquittals or reversals keep no-prison odds viable in this #MeToo landmark case.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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