Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial on the Jessica Mann rape charge, declared May 15 after a hung jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 79.8%. Prosecutors now face a late-June deadline to pursue a fourth trial on the same allegation, while Weinstein, 74 and reportedly in declining health, continues appealing his 16-year Los Angeles conviction and awaits sentencing on a separate New York sexual-assault count that carries up to 25 years. Traders appear to weigh these procedural setbacks, the producer’s advanced age, and historical patterns of prolonged appeals against any near-term certainty of further incarceration, leaving lower-probability buckets for multi-year sentences thinly traded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
हार्वे वाइनस्टीन जेल का समय?
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 79.8%
20-30 साल 10.1%
10-20 साल 6.7%
5 वर्ष से कम 3.8%
$1,061,866 वॉल्यूम
$1,061,866 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
80%
5 वर्ष से कम
4%
5-10 साल
3%
10-20 साल
7%
20-30 साल
10%
30+ साल
3%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 79.8%
20-30 साल 10.1%
10-20 साल 6.7%
5 वर्ष से कम 3.8%
$1,061,866 वॉल्यूम
$1,061,866 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2025
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
$370,617 वॉल्यूम
80%
5 वर्ष से कम
$139,252 वॉल्यूम
4%
5-10 साल
$88,515 वॉल्यूम
3%
10-20 साल
$167,987 वॉल्यूम
7%
20-30 साल
$211,310 वॉल्यूम
10%
30+ साल
$84,185 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial on the Jessica Mann rape charge, declared May 15 after a hung jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 79.8%. Prosecutors now face a late-June deadline to pursue a fourth trial on the same allegation, while Weinstein, 74 and reportedly in declining health, continues appealing his 16-year Los Angeles conviction and awaits sentencing on a separate New York sexual-assault count that carries up to 25 years. Traders appear to weigh these procedural setbacks, the producer’s advanced age, and historical patterns of prolonged appeals against any near-term certainty of further incarceration, leaving lower-probability buckets for multi-year sentences thinly traded.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,061,866समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial on the Jessica Mann rape charge, declared May 15 after a hung jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 79.8%. Prosecutors now face a late-June deadline to pursue a fourth trial on the same allegation, while Weinstein, 74 and reportedly in declining health, continues appealing his 16-year Los Angeles conviction and awaits sentencing on a separate New York sexual-assault count that carries up to 25 years. Traders appear to weigh these procedural setbacks, the producer’s advanced age, and historical patterns of prolonged appeals against any near-term certainty of further incarceration, leaving lower-probability buckets for multi-year sentences thinly traded.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,061,866समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrial in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial on the Jessica Mann rape charge, declared May 15 after a hung jury, has sharply elevated the market-implied odds of no additional prison time to 79.8%. Prosecutors now face a late-June deadline to pursue a fourth trial on the same allegation, while Weinstein, 74 and reportedly in declining health, continues appealing his 16-year Los Angeles conviction and awaits sentencing on a separate New York sexual-assault count that carries up to 25 years. Traders appear to weigh these procedural setbacks, the producer’s advanced age, and historical patterns of prolonged appeals against any near-term certainty of further incarceration, leaving lower-probability buckets for multi-year sentences thinly traded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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