Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 15°C at 30.5% implied probability for Amsterdam on April 18, narrowly ahead of 14°C (25.5%) and 16°C (16.5%), reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty two days out. The latest KNMI update (April 15) projects regional maximums of 17-18°C with light showers alternating with sun under southwest winds (force 2), a 50-70% precipitation chance, and 30% sunshine—conditions that could cap peaks via cloud-induced cooling despite mild advection. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit a 14-17°C spread, influenced by variable low-level moisture and frontal timing; historical April highs average 13-14°C but current patterns allow upside. Watch KNMI's daily bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18?
15°C 31%
14°C 26%
16°C 16%
13°C 12%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
6%
13°C
12%
14°C
26%
15°C
31%
16°C
16%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 31%
14°C 26%
16°C 16%
13°C 12%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
6%
13°C
12%
14°C
26%
15°C
31%
16°C
16%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 15°C at 30.5% implied probability for Amsterdam on April 18, narrowly ahead of 14°C (25.5%) and 16°C (16.5%), reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty two days out. The latest KNMI update (April 15) projects regional maximums of 17-18°C with light showers alternating with sun under southwest winds (force 2), a 50-70% precipitation chance, and 30% sunshine—conditions that could cap peaks via cloud-induced cooling despite mild advection. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit a 14-17°C spread, influenced by variable low-level moisture and frontal timing; historical April highs average 13-14°C but current patterns allow upside. Watch KNMI's daily bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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