Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 16, aligned with the latest consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) model runs projecting daytime highs near that mark under clear skies. A persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia has steered southerly winds, advecting warmer Mediterranean air masses, boosting temperatures 3-4°C above mid-April climatological norms of 17-18°C observed at Esenboğa Airport. Over the past 48 hours, actual readings hit 20°C yesterday with abundant sunshine (10+ hours), fueling trader optimism despite slight ensemble spread toward 20-22°C. Minimal cloudiness and low precipitation risk per forecasts support this positioning, with intraday observations from MGM stations set to refine probabilities as solar heating peaks this afternoon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अप्रैल को अंकारा में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अप्रैल को अंकारा में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21°C 53%
22°C 24%
20°C 17%
23°C 4.0%
नया
$32,786 वॉल्यूम
नया
$32,786 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
17%
21°C
53%
22°C
24%
23°C
4%
24°C या उससे अधिक
1%
21°C 53%
22°C 24%
20°C 17%
23°C 4.0%
नया
$32,786 वॉल्यूम
नया
$32,786 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$686 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$1,566 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$2,208 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$2,952 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$4,350 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$6,955 वॉल्यूम
3%
20°C
$4,581 वॉल्यूम
17%
21°C
$2,496 वॉल्यूम
53%
22°C
$2,717 वॉल्यूम
24%
23°C
$2,549 वॉल्यूम
4%
24°C या उससे अधिक
$1,822 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 16, aligned with the latest consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) model runs projecting daytime highs near that mark under clear skies. A persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia has steered southerly winds, advecting warmer Mediterranean air masses, boosting temperatures 3-4°C above mid-April climatological norms of 17-18°C observed at Esenboğa Airport. Over the past 48 hours, actual readings hit 20°C yesterday with abundant sunshine (10+ hours), fueling trader optimism despite slight ensemble spread toward 20-22°C. Minimal cloudiness and low precipitation risk per forecasts support this positioning, with intraday observations from MGM stations set to refine probabilities as solar heating peaks this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,786समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 16, aligned with the latest consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) model runs projecting daytime highs near that mark under clear skies. A persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia has steered southerly winds, advecting warmer Mediterranean air masses, boosting temperatures 3-4°C above mid-April climatological norms of 17-18°C observed at Esenboğa Airport. Over the past 48 hours, actual readings hit 20°C yesterday with abundant sunshine (10+ hours), fueling trader optimism despite slight ensemble spread toward 20-22°C. Minimal cloudiness and low precipitation risk per forecasts support this positioning, with intraday observations from MGM stations set to refine probabilities as solar heating peaks this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$32,786समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52.5% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 21°C on April 16, aligned with the latest consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) model runs projecting daytime highs near that mark under clear skies. A persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia has steered southerly winds, advecting warmer Mediterranean air masses, boosting temperatures 3-4°C above mid-April climatological norms of 17-18°C observed at Esenboğa Airport. Over the past 48 hours, actual readings hit 20°C yesterday with abundant sunshine (10+ hours), fueling trader optimism despite slight ensemble spread toward 20-22°C. Minimal cloudiness and low precipitation risk per forecasts support this positioning, with intraday observations from MGM stations set to refine probabilities as solar heating peaks this afternoon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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