Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-91°F highs for Austin on April 17 at over 56% implied probability combined, reflecting NOAA Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-normal spring 2026 outlook for Central Texas following a record-warm March with temperatures 1-4°F above average. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show a persistent upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong diurnal heating, pushing peaks 5-10°F beyond the 81°F climatological norm at Camp Mabry. The narrow lead for 88-89°F (31%) over 90-91°F (25.5%) stems from model spread on afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with dry soils enhancing sensible heat flux. NWS updates twice daily through April 16-17 will clarify as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
88-89°F 31%
90-91°F 26%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 10%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
6%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 31%
90-91°F 26%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 10%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
77°F or below
$936 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$605 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$442 वॉल्यूम
1%
82-83°F
$479 वॉल्यूम
3%
84-85°F
$204 वॉल्यूम
9%
86-87°F
$88 वॉल्यूम
18%
88-89°F
$120 वॉल्यूम
31%
90-91°F
$316 वॉल्यूम
26%
92-93°F
$963 वॉल्यूम
10%
94-95°F
$467 वॉल्यूम
6%
96°F or higher
$1,017 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-91°F highs for Austin on April 17 at over 56% implied probability combined, reflecting NOAA Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-normal spring 2026 outlook for Central Texas following a record-warm March with temperatures 1-4°F above average. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show a persistent upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong diurnal heating, pushing peaks 5-10°F beyond the 81°F climatological norm at Camp Mabry. The narrow lead for 88-89°F (31%) over 90-91°F (25.5%) stems from model spread on afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with dry soils enhancing sensible heat flux. NWS updates twice daily through April 16-17 will clarify as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,637समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-91°F highs for Austin on April 17 at over 56% implied probability combined, reflecting NOAA Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-normal spring 2026 outlook for Central Texas following a record-warm March with temperatures 1-4°F above average. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show a persistent upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong diurnal heating, pushing peaks 5-10°F beyond the 81°F climatological norm at Camp Mabry. The narrow lead for 88-89°F (31%) over 90-91°F (25.5%) stems from model spread on afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with dry soils enhancing sensible heat flux. NWS updates twice daily through April 16-17 will clarify as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$5,637समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-91°F highs for Austin on April 17 at over 56% implied probability combined, reflecting NOAA Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-normal spring 2026 outlook for Central Texas following a record-warm March with temperatures 1-4°F above average. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show a persistent upper-level ridge promoting sunny skies, light southerly winds, and strong diurnal heating, pushing peaks 5-10°F beyond the 81°F climatological norm at Camp Mabry. The narrow lead for 88-89°F (31%) over 90-91°F (25.5%) stems from model spread on afternoon cloud development and boundary layer mixing, with dry soils enhancing sensible heat flux. NWS updates twice daily through April 16-17 will clarify as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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