Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 18, with probabilities clustered around 72-79°F due to a stalled frontal boundary fostering persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms across Central Texas. Recent developments include April 15 highs near 85°F giving way to cooler mid-70s forecasts as southerly winds (5-15 mph) usher in moist air, capping daytime heating; GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 4-6°F on peak insolation potential amid 40-70% precipitation chances. Historical mid-April averages hover near 79°F, but current trough aloft limits instability. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon briefing, which could sharpen odds on clearing trends or sustained overcast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Austin on April 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
76-77°F 16%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
69°F or below
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
76-77°F 16%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
69°F or below
$221 वॉल्यूम
3%
70-71°F
$81 वॉल्यूम
7%
72-73°F
$43 वॉल्यूम
20%
74-75°F
$105 वॉल्यूम
22%
76-77°F
$54 वॉल्यूम
16%
78-79°F
$62 वॉल्यूम
23%
80-81°F
$115 वॉल्यूम
10%
82-83°F
$223 वॉल्यूम
10%
84-85°F
$217 वॉल्यूम
4%
86-87°F
$702 वॉल्यूम
<1%
88°F or higher
$775 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 18, with probabilities clustered around 72-79°F due to a stalled frontal boundary fostering persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms across Central Texas. Recent developments include April 15 highs near 85°F giving way to cooler mid-70s forecasts as southerly winds (5-15 mph) usher in moist air, capping daytime heating; GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 4-6°F on peak insolation potential amid 40-70% precipitation chances. Historical mid-April averages hover near 79°F, but current trough aloft limits instability. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon briefing, which could sharpen odds on clearing trends or sustained overcast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,598समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 18, with probabilities clustered around 72-79°F due to a stalled frontal boundary fostering persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms across Central Texas. Recent developments include April 15 highs near 85°F giving way to cooler mid-70s forecasts as southerly winds (5-15 mph) usher in moist air, capping daytime heating; GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 4-6°F on peak insolation potential amid 40-70% precipitation chances. Historical mid-April averages hover near 79°F, but current trough aloft limits instability. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon briefing, which could sharpen odds on clearing trends or sustained overcast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$2,598समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs for Austin's highest temperature on April 18, with probabilities clustered around 72-79°F due to a stalled frontal boundary fostering persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms across Central Texas. Recent developments include April 15 highs near 85°F giving way to cooler mid-70s forecasts as southerly winds (5-15 mph) usher in moist air, capping daytime heating; GFS and ECMWF runs diverge by 4-6°F on peak insolation potential amid 40-70% precipitation chances. Historical mid-April averages hover near 79°F, but current trough aloft limits instability. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon briefing, which could sharpen odds on clearing trends or sustained overcast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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