Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Austin on April 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 19?
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
69°F or below 20%
नया
नया
19 अप्रैल, 2026
69°F or below
20%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 22%
69°F or below 20%
नया
नया
19 अप्रैल, 2026
69°F or below
$10 वॉल्यूम
20%
70-71°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
72-73°F
$3 वॉल्यूम
23%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
76-77°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
78-79°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
8%
80-81°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
8%
82-83°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
84-85°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
86-87°F
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
88°F or higher
$145 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$188समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$188समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 69°F or below, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating amid an active weather pattern across Central Texas. Recent developments, including repeated rounds of thunderstorms over the past week from a lingering upper-level trough and moist southerly flow, have kept highs below seasonal norms—averaging 80°F in mid-April—with the latest model runs (GFS and ECMWF consensus) projecting peaks near 70°F under overcast skies and 40-60% precipitation chances. Upside risks to 72-75°F exist if showers taper, but traders price in boundary-layer cooling from overnight lows in the 50s; monitor NWS Austin/San Antonio updates and new 12z model guidance for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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