Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 18 at around 27-28°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 28% implied probabilities for each outcome amid a post-rain warming surge. Recent developments include clearing skies over the past 48 hours, lifting highs to 25-26°C after mid-week showers suppressed peaks to 19°C, fueled by southerly winds and high pressure building over northern China. Differentiating factors hinge on cloud cover variability—40% precipitation risk could limit solar insolation to 27°C, while full sunshine and urban heat island effects favor 28°C—against April climatological averages of 21°C highs. New model runs expected within 24 hours may refine odds before resolution via official Beijing station data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 18?
28°C 28%
27°C 27%
29°C 22%
26°C 19%
25°C or below
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 28%
27°C 27%
29°C 22%
26°C 19%
25°C or below
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 18 at around 27-28°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 28% implied probabilities for each outcome amid a post-rain warming surge. Recent developments include clearing skies over the past 48 hours, lifting highs to 25-26°C after mid-week showers suppressed peaks to 19°C, fueled by southerly winds and high pressure building over northern China. Differentiating factors hinge on cloud cover variability—40% precipitation risk could limit solar insolation to 27°C, while full sunshine and urban heat island effects favor 28°C—against April climatological averages of 21°C highs. New model runs expected within 24 hours may refine odds before resolution via official Beijing station data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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