Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Beijing on April 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 27?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$214,203 वॉल्यूम
$214,203 वॉल्यूम
27 अप्रैल, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$214,203 वॉल्यूम
$214,203 वॉल्यूम
27 अप्रैल, 2026
17°C or below
$3,195 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$2,629 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$1,909 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$6,223 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$13,881 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$25,729 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$37,607 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$46,520 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$45,101 वॉल्यूम
Yes
26°C
$18,604 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C or higher
$12,806 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$214,203समाप्ति तिथि
27 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$214,203समाप्ति तिथि
27 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Beijing on April 27, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Beijing Capital International Airport—the official resolution source—confirming a midday peak of exactly 25°C under hazy sunshine, light northerly winds (16-24 km/h), and a subsiding high-pressure ridge fostering efficient boundary-layer heating from overnight lows near 9°C. This aligns with updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, building on yesterday's 24°C actual high amid spring warming trends exceeding late-April climatological averages of 22°C. With the sun setting and temperatures declining, realistic challenges are minimal but could involve post-peak measurement revisions from CMA's final hourly bulletins or rare urban heat island effects pushing marginally higher, though low probability persists ahead of midnight UTC airport data lock.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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