Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 10?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$161,372 वॉल्यूम
$161,372 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$161,372 वॉल्यूम
$161,372 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
29°C or below
$23,839 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$20,377 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$9,144 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$36,879 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C
$18,983 वॉल्यूम
Yes
34°C
$18,278 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$10,611 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C
$10,450 वॉल्यूम
No
37°C
$6,365 वॉल्यूम
No
38°C
$4,515 वॉल्यूम
No
39°C or higher
$1,930 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$161,372समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$161,372समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Beijing today, backed by China Meteorological Administration forecasts and Beijing meteorological bulletins projecting daytime peaks of 32–33°C amid North China's first heatwave of 2026. Morning observations at Beijing Capital International Airport logged lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, with high-pressure subsidence driving warm advection while persistent cloud cover caps solar insolation per ECMWF and GFS ensemble model consensus clustering in the 31–34°C range—above May's historical average of 27–28°C. Realistic challenges include sudden clearing for enhanced heating toward 34°C or cooler air intrusion; final China Meteorological Administration confirmation expected by evening local time.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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