Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, with 27°C leading at 29.5% implied probability amid a close cluster around 26–28°C outcomes. This positioning stems from April 2026's warmer-than-normal conditions—monthly mean 20.9°C versus a 18.5°C baseline—following early-month peaks above 30°C that have moderated to 22–24°C highs over the past week due to southerly winds. Ensemble projections from sources like meteoblue and ECMWF now anticipate a rebound under building high pressure, though model spreads highlight sensitivity to cloud cover, boundary layer stability, and frontal timing. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs every 12 hours for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
14%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 28%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
14%
26°C
22%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, with 27°C leading at 29.5% implied probability amid a close cluster around 26–28°C outcomes. This positioning stems from April 2026's warmer-than-normal conditions—monthly mean 20.9°C versus a 18.5°C baseline—following early-month peaks above 30°C that have moderated to 22–24°C highs over the past week due to southerly winds. Ensemble projections from sources like meteoblue and ECMWF now anticipate a rebound under building high pressure, though model spreads highlight sensitivity to cloud cover, boundary layer stability, and frontal timing. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs every 12 hours for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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