Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a mild winter high near 20°C for Cape Town on August 1, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because traders weigh the potential for warmer-than-average conditions driven by variable subtropical ridging, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly flow that can elevate daytime maxima several degrees above the 17–18°C seasonal norm. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the near-even split between those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 27°C or above reflect the low likelihood of strong warm advection or berg wind events this early in the season. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
1 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 25%
25°C 23%
26°C 19%
22°C 16%
नया
नया
1 अग, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
23%
26°C
19%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
2%
24°C 25%
25°C 23%
26°C 19%
22°C 16%
नया
नया
1 अग, 2026
19°C or below
$15 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
3%
22°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
16%
23°C
$108 वॉल्यूम
13%
24°C
$80 वॉल्यूम
25%
25°C
$57 वॉल्यूम
23%
26°C
$65 वॉल्यूम
19%
27°C
$121 वॉल्यूम
6%
28°C
$158 वॉल्यूम
9%
29°C or higher
$307 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a mild winter high near 20°C for Cape Town on August 1, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because traders weigh the potential for warmer-than-average conditions driven by variable subtropical ridging, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly flow that can elevate daytime maxima several degrees above the 17–18°C seasonal norm. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the near-even split between those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 27°C or above reflect the low likelihood of strong warm advection or berg wind events this early in the season. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,017समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a mild winter high near 20°C for Cape Town on August 1, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because traders weigh the potential for warmer-than-average conditions driven by variable subtropical ridging, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly flow that can elevate daytime maxima several degrees above the 17–18°C seasonal norm. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the near-even split between those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 27°C or above reflect the low likelihood of strong warm advection or berg wind events this early in the season. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,017समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a mild winter high near 20°C for Cape Town on August 1, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because traders weigh the potential for warmer-than-average conditions driven by variable subtropical ridging, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly flow that can elevate daytime maxima several degrees above the 17–18°C seasonal norm. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the near-even split between those two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 27°C or above reflect the low likelihood of strong warm advection or berg wind events this early in the season. Updated model runs and official SAWS briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न