Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 6?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$45,349 वॉल्यूम
$45,349 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$45,349 वॉल्यूम
$45,349 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
13°C or below
$856 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$2,311 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$2,731 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$3,928 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$4,174 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$3,758 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$11,078 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$4,334 वॉल्यूम
Yes
21°C
$4,754 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$2,197 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C or higher
$5,229 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$45,349समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$45,349समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 20°C at Cape Town International Airport on May 6, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts projecting a maximum near 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions and moderate southerly winds from a nearby cut-off low system affecting the Western Cape. Current observations align with this, showing daytime temps peaking around 20°C under overcast skies and coastal influences that cap solar heating, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover at 20–22°C. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reinforce stability, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief spikes to 21°C+, though persistent cloud cover and sea breezes make this improbable; final SAWS airport data will confirm resolution by evening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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