Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 जुलाई को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19 जुलाई को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
37°C 100.0%
33°C या उससे कम <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$65,358 वॉल्यूम
$65,358 वॉल्यूम
19 जुल, 2026
33°C या उससे कम
नहीं
34°C
नहीं
35°C
नहीं
36°C
नहीं
37°C
हाँ
38°C
नहीं
39°C
नहीं
40°C
नहीं
41°C
नहीं
42°C
नहीं
43°C या अधिक
नहीं
37°C 100.0%
33°C या उससे कम <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$65,358 वॉल्यूम
$65,358 वॉल्यूम
19 जुल, 2026
33°C या उससे कम
$3,654 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
34°C
$4,266 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
35°C
$4,842 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
36°C
$9,889 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
37°C
$10,980 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
38°C
$10,389 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
39°C
$7,426 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
40°C
$8,286 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
41°C
$3,984 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
42°C
$1,159 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
43°C या अधिक
$485 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$65,358समाप्ति तिथि
19 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$65,358समाप्ति तिथि
19 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Recent East Asian summer heat patterns, with above-average temperatures forecast across southern China including the Sichuan Basin, underpin trader consensus around 37–39°C for Chengdu’s July 19 maximum. The basin’s topography and high humidity trap heat, while model consensus on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and daytime solar heating creates tight spreads between these brackets. Subtle variations in forecast runs—such as afternoon thunderstorm development or wind shifts—can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C, explaining the close market-implied odds. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and historical analogs for similar late-July conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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