Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at exactly 31°C on May 10, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peak daytime highs of 31°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under overcast skies and light winds that cap solar heating. This reflects a sharp rebound from May 8's rainy 24°C high amid building upper-air ridging over the Sichuan Basin, exceeding the early-May subtropical monsoon climatology of 27°C averages. While model uncertainty remains, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for greater insolation or southerly wind shifts boosting advection; final CMA hourly data through midnight UTC will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 10?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 10?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$72,971 वॉल्यूम
$72,971 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$72,971 वॉल्यूम
$72,971 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
26°C or below
$5,498 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$3,957 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$8,923 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$8,682 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$4,962 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$14,600 वॉल्यूम
Yes
32°C
$7,389 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C
$5,827 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C
$5,808 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$3,897 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C or higher
$3,429 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at exactly 31°C on May 10, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peak daytime highs of 31°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under overcast skies and light winds that cap solar heating. This reflects a sharp rebound from May 8's rainy 24°C high amid building upper-air ridging over the Sichuan Basin, exceeding the early-May subtropical monsoon climatology of 27°C averages. While model uncertainty remains, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for greater insolation or southerly wind shifts boosting advection; final CMA hourly data through midnight UTC will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$72,971समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at exactly 31°C on May 10, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peak daytime highs of 31°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under overcast skies and light winds that cap solar heating. This reflects a sharp rebound from May 8's rainy 24°C high amid building upper-air ridging over the Sichuan Basin, exceeding the early-May subtropical monsoon climatology of 27°C averages. While model uncertainty remains, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for greater insolation or southerly wind shifts boosting advection; final CMA hourly data through midnight UTC will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$72,971समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature at exactly 31°C on May 10, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peak daytime highs of 31°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under overcast skies and light winds that cap solar heating. This reflects a sharp rebound from May 8's rainy 24°C high amid building upper-air ridging over the Sichuan Basin, exceeding the early-May subtropical monsoon climatology of 27°C averages. While model uncertainty remains, realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for greater insolation or southerly wind shifts boosting advection; final CMA hourly data through midnight UTC will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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