Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 66-67°F (21.5% implied probability) for Chicago on April 18, closely trailed by 64-65°F and 68-69°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the mid-60s amid a transitional post-frontal pattern. Recent waves of showers and thunderstorms through April 16—part of Chicago's wettest spring in over 40 years with active flood watches—have introduced lingering low-level moisture and cloudiness, capping potential warming from southwest winds. Slightly cooler outcomes (64-65°F) reflect risks of persistent overcast skies, while warmer ones (68-69°F) depend on afternoon clearing and stronger ridging aloft; above-normal normals (60°F) align with NOAA's warmer spring outlook. New 12z model runs today will clarify these uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chicago on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 18?
66-67°F 35%
68-69°F 24%
64-65°F 17%
62-63°F 9.0%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
3%
72°F or higher
8%
66-67°F 35%
68-69°F 24%
64-65°F 17%
62-63°F 9.0%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
53°F or below
$2,146 वॉल्यूम
<1%
54-55°F
$583 वॉल्यूम
3%
56-57°F
$450 वॉल्यूम
2%
58-59°F
$414 वॉल्यूम
5%
60-61°F
$229 वॉल्यूम
7%
62-63°F
$561 वॉल्यूम
9%
64-65°F
$173 वॉल्यूम
17%
66-67°F
$193 वॉल्यूम
35%
68-69°F
$224 वॉल्यूम
24%
70-71°F
$788 वॉल्यूम
3%
72°F or higher
$1,488 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 66-67°F (21.5% implied probability) for Chicago on April 18, closely trailed by 64-65°F and 68-69°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the mid-60s amid a transitional post-frontal pattern. Recent waves of showers and thunderstorms through April 16—part of Chicago's wettest spring in over 40 years with active flood watches—have introduced lingering low-level moisture and cloudiness, capping potential warming from southwest winds. Slightly cooler outcomes (64-65°F) reflect risks of persistent overcast skies, while warmer ones (68-69°F) depend on afternoon clearing and stronger ridging aloft; above-normal normals (60°F) align with NOAA's warmer spring outlook. New 12z model runs today will clarify these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,238समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 66-67°F (21.5% implied probability) for Chicago on April 18, closely trailed by 64-65°F and 68-69°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the mid-60s amid a transitional post-frontal pattern. Recent waves of showers and thunderstorms through April 16—part of Chicago's wettest spring in over 40 years with active flood watches—have introduced lingering low-level moisture and cloudiness, capping potential warming from southwest winds. Slightly cooler outcomes (64-65°F) reflect risks of persistent overcast skies, while warmer ones (68-69°F) depend on afternoon clearing and stronger ridging aloft; above-normal normals (60°F) align with NOAA's warmer spring outlook. New 12z model runs today will clarify these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$7,238समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 66-67°F (21.5% implied probability) for Chicago on April 18, closely trailed by 64-65°F and 68-69°F, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the mid-60s amid a transitional post-frontal pattern. Recent waves of showers and thunderstorms through April 16—part of Chicago's wettest spring in over 40 years with active flood watches—have introduced lingering low-level moisture and cloudiness, capping potential warming from southwest winds. Slightly cooler outcomes (64-65°F) reflect risks of persistent overcast skies, while warmer ones (68-69°F) depend on afternoon clearing and stronger ridging aloft; above-normal normals (60°F) align with NOAA's warmer spring outlook. New 12z model runs today will clarify these uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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