Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 2?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,698 वॉल्यूम
$43,698 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,698 वॉल्यूम
$43,698 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
23°C or below
$1,653 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$1,159 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$1,877 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$4,433 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$5,343 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$5,913 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$4,466 वॉल्यूम
Yes
30°C
$4,108 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$4,731 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$4,787 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C or higher
$5,229 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$43,698समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$43,698समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 29°C high temperature in Guangzhou today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model consensus projecting peaks of 28–29°C at Baiyun International Airport amid persistent cloud cover, 80% humidity, and scattered showers that limit surface heating and convective potential. Midday observations confirm 27–28°C readings, aligning with early May climatological averages of 29.3°C during subtropical monsoon onset, when overcast conditions typically cap daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling brief solar insolation spikes or urban heat island amplification pushing briefly to 30°C, though robust model agreement and stable atmospheric patterns render this unlikely; track hourly airport METAR data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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