Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 4, backed by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum of 25°C amid persistent overcast skies and patchy rain that limit solar heating. Observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—align with this, as midday peaks hovered around this mark with no signs of intensification. Cooler-than-average May conditions (historical highs near 29–30°C) stem from stable low-pressure patterns suppressing typical convective activity. A late-afternoon clearing could theoretically push temperatures higher, but diminishing daylight and cloud cover make this improbable, with final hourly data expected soon after sunset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 4?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 4?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$45,337 वॉल्यूम
$45,337 वॉल्यूम
4 मई, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$45,337 वॉल्यूम
$45,337 वॉल्यूम
4 मई, 2026
20°C or below
$3,118 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$4,239 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$3,477 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$4,780 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$3,624 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$5,241 वॉल्यूम
Yes
26°C
$5,873 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$4,594 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$4,680 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$3,560 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C or higher
$2,152 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 4, backed by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum of 25°C amid persistent overcast skies and patchy rain that limit solar heating. Observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—align with this, as midday peaks hovered around this mark with no signs of intensification. Cooler-than-average May conditions (historical highs near 29–30°C) stem from stable low-pressure patterns suppressing typical convective activity. A late-afternoon clearing could theoretically push temperatures higher, but diminishing daylight and cloud cover make this improbable, with final hourly data expected soon after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$45,337समाप्ति तिथि
4 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 4, backed by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum of 25°C amid persistent overcast skies and patchy rain that limit solar heating. Observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—align with this, as midday peaks hovered around this mark with no signs of intensification. Cooler-than-average May conditions (historical highs near 29–30°C) stem from stable low-pressure patterns suppressing typical convective activity. A late-afternoon clearing could theoretically push temperatures higher, but diminishing daylight and cloud cover make this improbable, with final hourly data expected soon after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$45,337समाप्ति तिथि
4 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 4, backed by official China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts showing a daily maximum of 25°C amid persistent overcast skies and patchy rain that limit solar heating. Observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—align with this, as midday peaks hovered around this mark with no signs of intensification. Cooler-than-average May conditions (historical highs near 29–30°C) stem from stable low-pressure patterns suppressing typical convective activity. A late-afternoon clearing could theoretically push temperatures higher, but diminishing daylight and cloud cover make this improbable, with final hourly data expected soon after sunset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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