Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$357,563 वॉल्यूम
$357,563 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$357,563 वॉल्यूम
$357,563 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
21°C or below
$4,318 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$1,265 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$5,392 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$5,460 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$11,421 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$155,933 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$47,252 वॉल्यूम
Yes
28°C
$62,529 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$35,509 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$17,021 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C or higher
$11,464 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$357,563समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$357,563समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C at 100% implied probability for Hong Kong's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official observational data confirming this exact value as the absolute daily maximum, recorded via standard meteorological instruments at the King's Park station. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecast models projecting 27–28°C amid mainly fine conditions and early May climatological norms of around 28°C average highs, influenced by subtropical high-pressure influence and normal to above-normal seasonal temperatures. While HKO data carries high reliability, realistic challenges could include post-preliminary quality control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or recalibrations, though such occurrences are exceedingly rare for finalized daily extracts. Market awaits final resolution per HKO criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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