Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C or higher as virtually certain for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies. Morning observations at Istanbul Atatürk Airport (LTBA) already show temperatures climbing from 17°C at dawn to the low 20s by midday, aligning with rapid diurnal warming typical for May's climatological norms—averaging 21°C but exceeding that amid this season's above-normal warmth. Model ensembles exhibit tight agreement on peak heat between 1400-1600 UTC, with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge from the Bosphorus cooling urban heat islands or a late-afternoon model bust, though probabilities remain under 1% per current data. Evening MGM bulletins will confirm the official max.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 12?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,548 वॉल्यूम
$41,548 वॉल्यूम
12 मई, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$41,548 वॉल्यूम
$41,548 वॉल्यूम
12 मई, 2026
17°C or below
$3,668 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$542 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$743 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$1,161 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$3,379 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$8,668 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$5,695 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$4,919 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$3,471 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$3,623 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C or higher
$5,678 वॉल्यूम
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C or higher as virtually certain for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies. Morning observations at Istanbul Atatürk Airport (LTBA) already show temperatures climbing from 17°C at dawn to the low 20s by midday, aligning with rapid diurnal warming typical for May's climatological norms—averaging 21°C but exceeding that amid this season's above-normal warmth. Model ensembles exhibit tight agreement on peak heat between 1400-1600 UTC, with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge from the Bosphorus cooling urban heat islands or a late-afternoon model bust, though probabilities remain under 1% per current data. Evening MGM bulletins will confirm the official max.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 10, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,548समाप्ति तिथि
12 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 10, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C or higher as virtually certain for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies. Morning observations at Istanbul Atatürk Airport (LTBA) already show temperatures climbing from 17°C at dawn to the low 20s by midday, aligning with rapid diurnal warming typical for May's climatological norms—averaging 21°C but exceeding that amid this season's above-normal warmth. Model ensembles exhibit tight agreement on peak heat between 1400-1600 UTC, with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge from the Bosphorus cooling urban heat islands or a late-afternoon model bust, though probabilities remain under 1% per current data. Evening MGM bulletins will confirm the official max.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$41,548समाप्ति तिथि
12 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 10, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 27°C or higher as virtually certain for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF projecting daytime highs of 27-28°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly sunny skies. Morning observations at Istanbul Atatürk Airport (LTBA) already show temperatures climbing from 17°C at dawn to the low 20s by midday, aligning with rapid diurnal warming typical for May's climatological norms—averaging 21°C but exceeding that amid this season's above-normal warmth. Model ensembles exhibit tight agreement on peak heat between 1400-1600 UTC, with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen sea breeze surge from the Bosphorus cooling urban heat islands or a late-afternoon model bust, though probabilities remain under 1% per current data. Evening MGM bulletins will confirm the official max.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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