Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 मई को लागोस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
1 मई को लागोस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 100.0%
28°C या उससे कम <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$36,982 वॉल्यूम
$36,982 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
नहीं
31°C
नहीं
32°C
नहीं
33°C
नहीं
34°C
हाँ
35°C
नहीं
36°C
नहीं
37°C
नहीं
38°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
34°C 100.0%
28°C या उससे कम <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$36,982 वॉल्यूम
$36,982 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
$15,274 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
29°C
$959 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
30°C
$1,390 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
31°C
$1,293 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
32°C
$2,091 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
33°C
$1,697 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
34°C
$2,788 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
35°C
$3,225 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
36°C
$2,482 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
37°C
$2,785 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
38°C या उससे अधिक
$2,996 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,982समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$36,982समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न