Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 27°C (39.5% implied probability) or 26°C (27.5%) in Madrid on April 17, aligning closely with AEMET's latest forecast of a 27°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula. This system delivers clear skies, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming, enabling strong daytime radiative heating following April 15's observed 23.9°C high at Madrid-Retiro station—above the ~18°C April climatological average. Recent ECMWF model runs reinforce this outlook with minimal cloud interference and 0% precipitation risk, though slight urban heat effects at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (resolution site) could nudge toward 28°C (22.5%). Traders await final hourly observations, as short-range forecasts carry low uncertainty for such benign conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 40%
26°C 28%
28°C 22%
25°C 9%
नया
$11,309 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,309 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 28%
28°C 22%
25°C 9%
नया
$11,309 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,309 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
20°C or below
$1,014 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$1,403 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C
$2,132 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$1,063 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$1,327 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$1,169 वॉल्यूम
9%
26°C
$607 वॉल्यूम
28%
27°C
$685 वॉल्यूम
40%
28°C
$522 वॉल्यूम
22%
29°C
$657 वॉल्यूम
3%
30°C or higher
$782 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 27°C (39.5% implied probability) or 26°C (27.5%) in Madrid on April 17, aligning closely with AEMET's latest forecast of a 27°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula. This system delivers clear skies, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming, enabling strong daytime radiative heating following April 15's observed 23.9°C high at Madrid-Retiro station—above the ~18°C April climatological average. Recent ECMWF model runs reinforce this outlook with minimal cloud interference and 0% precipitation risk, though slight urban heat effects at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (resolution site) could nudge toward 28°C (22.5%). Traders await final hourly observations, as short-range forecasts carry low uncertainty for such benign conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,309समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 27°C (39.5% implied probability) or 26°C (27.5%) in Madrid on April 17, aligning closely with AEMET's latest forecast of a 27°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula. This system delivers clear skies, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming, enabling strong daytime radiative heating following April 15's observed 23.9°C high at Madrid-Retiro station—above the ~18°C April climatological average. Recent ECMWF model runs reinforce this outlook with minimal cloud interference and 0% precipitation risk, though slight urban heat effects at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (resolution site) could nudge toward 28°C (22.5%). Traders await final hourly observations, as short-range forecasts carry low uncertainty for such benign conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$11,309समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 27°C (39.5% implied probability) or 26°C (27.5%) in Madrid on April 17, aligning closely with AEMET's latest forecast of a 27°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula. This system delivers clear skies, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and subsidence warming, enabling strong daytime radiative heating following April 15's observed 23.9°C high at Madrid-Retiro station—above the ~18°C April climatological average. Recent ECMWF model runs reinforce this outlook with minimal cloud interference and 0% precipitation risk, though slight urban heat effects at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport (resolution site) could nudge toward 28°C (22.5%). Traders await final hourly observations, as short-range forecasts carry low uncertainty for such benign conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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