Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33%) and 29°C (32%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) latest forecast indicating a 28°C maximum under high-pressure dominance with clear skies, southerly winds at 10 km/h, and 0% precipitation probability. This reflects a warm anomaly above April's 18–19°C historical average, fueled by subsidence inhibiting clouds for maximal solar insolation and mild advection from the south. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs—some hinting at extra afternoon heating to 29°C via urban effects or delayed sea breeze—and inherent short-range uncertainty; watch AEMET's April 17 update and intraday observations for resolution shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 36%
29°C 30%
26°C 16%
27°C 15%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
16%
27°C
15%
28°C
36%
29°C
30%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 36%
29°C 30%
26°C 16%
27°C 15%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
22°C or below
$180 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$129 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$408 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$85 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$3 वॉल्यूम
16%
27°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
15%
28°C
$59 वॉल्यूम
36%
29°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
30%
30°C
$135 वॉल्यूम
12%
31°C
$70 वॉल्यूम
3%
32°C or higher
$365 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33%) and 29°C (32%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) latest forecast indicating a 28°C maximum under high-pressure dominance with clear skies, southerly winds at 10 km/h, and 0% precipitation probability. This reflects a warm anomaly above April's 18–19°C historical average, fueled by subsidence inhibiting clouds for maximal solar insolation and mild advection from the south. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs—some hinting at extra afternoon heating to 29°C via urban effects or delayed sea breeze—and inherent short-range uncertainty; watch AEMET's April 17 update and intraday observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,454समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33%) and 29°C (32%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) latest forecast indicating a 28°C maximum under high-pressure dominance with clear skies, southerly winds at 10 km/h, and 0% precipitation probability. This reflects a warm anomaly above April's 18–19°C historical average, fueled by subsidence inhibiting clouds for maximal solar insolation and mild advection from the south. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs—some hinting at extra afternoon heating to 29°C via urban effects or delayed sea breeze—and inherent short-range uncertainty; watch AEMET's April 17 update and intraday observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,454समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (33%) and 29°C (32%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) latest forecast indicating a 28°C maximum under high-pressure dominance with clear skies, southerly winds at 10 km/h, and 0% precipitation probability. This reflects a warm anomaly above April's 18–19°C historical average, fueled by subsidence inhibiting clouds for maximal solar insolation and mild advection from the south. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs—some hinting at extra afternoon heating to 29°C via urban effects or delayed sea breeze—and inherent short-range uncertainty; watch AEMET's April 17 update and intraday observations for resolution shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न