Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average baseline temperatures across central Spain—following the hottest first half of 2026 on record and a late-June heatwave that pushed Madrid to 40°C—have driven market-implied odds toward 39–40°C for July 6. Official forecasts from AEMET, Met Office, and BBC currently converge on daytime maxima of 38–39°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with limited model spread on peak values. The narrow edge for 40°C reflects trader expectations that urban heat-island amplification or minor forecast upgrades in the final 48 hours could nudge readings one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain possible if subsidence weakens or boundary-layer mixing increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Madrid’s reference station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 जुलाई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
6 जुलाई को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$90,774 वॉल्यूम
$90,774 वॉल्यूम
6 जुल, 2026
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
नहीं
42°C
नहीं
43°C
नहीं
44°C
नहीं
45°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$90,774 वॉल्यूम
$90,774 वॉल्यूम
6 जुल, 2026
35°C or below
$7,188 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C
$8,553 वॉल्यूम
No
37°C
$8,890 वॉल्यूम
No
38°C
$15,470 वॉल्यूम
No
39°C
$13,979 वॉल्यूम
Yes
40°C
$10,612 वॉल्यूम
No
41°C
$8,783 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
42°C
$7,088 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
43°C
$2,948 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
44°C
$3,700 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
45°C या उससे अधिक
$3,561 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average baseline temperatures across central Spain—following the hottest first half of 2026 on record and a late-June heatwave that pushed Madrid to 40°C—have driven market-implied odds toward 39–40°C for July 6. Official forecasts from AEMET, Met Office, and BBC currently converge on daytime maxima of 38–39°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with limited model spread on peak values. The narrow edge for 40°C reflects trader expectations that urban heat-island amplification or minor forecast upgrades in the final 48 hours could nudge readings one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain possible if subsidence weakens or boundary-layer mixing increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Madrid’s reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$90,774समाप्ति तिथि
6 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average baseline temperatures across central Spain—following the hottest first half of 2026 on record and a late-June heatwave that pushed Madrid to 40°C—have driven market-implied odds toward 39–40°C for July 6. Official forecasts from AEMET, Met Office, and BBC currently converge on daytime maxima of 38–39°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with limited model spread on peak values. The narrow edge for 40°C reflects trader expectations that urban heat-island amplification or minor forecast upgrades in the final 48 hours could nudge readings one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain possible if subsidence weakens or boundary-layer mixing increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Madrid’s reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$90,774समाप्ति तिथि
6 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Persistent high-pressure systems and above-average baseline temperatures across central Spain—following the hottest first half of 2026 on record and a late-June heatwave that pushed Madrid to 40°C—have driven market-implied odds toward 39–40°C for July 6. Official forecasts from AEMET, Met Office, and BBC currently converge on daytime maxima of 38–39°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with limited model spread on peak values. The narrow edge for 40°C reflects trader expectations that urban heat-island amplification or minor forecast upgrades in the final 48 hours could nudge readings one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain possible if subsidence weakens or boundary-layer mixing increases. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Madrid’s reference station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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