Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20°C at a 100% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from Spain's AEMET agency at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where the peak of exactly 20°C was recorded in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds suppressing further warming. This aligns with hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing then declining toward evening, consistent with typical May diurnal cycles at the site. Earlier ECMWF and GFS model ensembles had projected around 21°C, but actual conditions proved cooler due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions by AEMET or unverified sensor recalibrations pushing the max higher, though final quality-controlled reports are due shortly with minimal expected shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on May 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 6?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$95,898 वॉल्यूम
$95,898 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$95,898 वॉल्यूम
$95,898 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
15°C or below
$451 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$2,872 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$3,922 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$6,427 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$25,366 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$18,244 वॉल्यूम
Yes
21°C
$11,151 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$9,066 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$6,075 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$5,768 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C or higher
$6,557 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20°C at a 100% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from Spain's AEMET agency at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where the peak of exactly 20°C was recorded in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds suppressing further warming. This aligns with hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing then declining toward evening, consistent with typical May diurnal cycles at the site. Earlier ECMWF and GFS model ensembles had projected around 21°C, but actual conditions proved cooler due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions by AEMET or unverified sensor recalibrations pushing the max higher, though final quality-controlled reports are due shortly with minimal expected shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$95,898समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20°C at a 100% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from Spain's AEMET agency at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where the peak of exactly 20°C was recorded in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds suppressing further warming. This aligns with hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing then declining toward evening, consistent with typical May diurnal cycles at the site. Earlier ECMWF and GFS model ensembles had projected around 21°C, but actual conditions proved cooler due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions by AEMET or unverified sensor recalibrations pushing the max higher, though final quality-controlled reports are due shortly with minimal expected shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$95,898समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20°C at a 100% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from Spain's AEMET agency at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where the peak of exactly 20°C was recorded in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds suppressing further warming. This aligns with hourly measurements showing temperatures stabilizing then declining toward evening, consistent with typical May diurnal cycles at the site. Earlier ECMWF and GFS model ensembles had projected around 21°C, but actual conditions proved cooler due to increased cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions by AEMET or unverified sensor recalibrations pushing the max higher, though final quality-controlled reports are due shortly with minimal expected shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न